Korea Meteorological Administration's latest short-term forecast projects a maximum temperature of 16°C in Seoul on May 3 amid continuous light rain and cloudy skies, but trader sentiment reflects deep uncertainty, pricing 13°C and 14°C outcomes at equal 50% implied probabilities due to suppressed daytime heating from persistent overcast conditions and precipitation. Recent observations show a sharp pattern shift—clear skies boosted May 1 highs to 24°C, while May 2's cloudiness caps at 23°C—highlighting sensitivity to moisture advection from easterly flows. Ensemble models diverge slightly on afternoon peaks, hinging on rainfall intensity and potential brief cloud breaks allowing 1°C swings in solar insolation. Updated KMA guidance expected within 24 hours may clarify this razor-thin split before resolution based on official station measurements.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Seoul on May 3?
Highest temperature in Seoul on May 3?
15°C 27%
16°C 26%
14°C 23%
19°C or higher 22.4%
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 may 2026
9°C or below
1%
10°C
1%
11°C
1%
12°C
5%
13°C
7%
14°C
23%
15°C
27%
16°C
26%
17°C
21%
18°C
15%
19°C or higher
16%
15°C 27%
16°C 26%
14°C 23%
19°C or higher 22.4%
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 may 2026
9°C or below
$7 Vol.
1%
10°C
$7 Vol.
1%
11°C
$7 Vol.
1%
12°C
$50 Vol.
5%
13°C
$7 Vol.
7%
14°C
$7 Vol.
23%
15°C
$7 Vol.
27%
16°C
$7 Vol.
26%
17°C
$8 Vol.
21%
18°C
$35 Vol.
15%
19°C or higher
$31 Vol.
16%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration's latest short-term forecast projects a maximum temperature of 16°C in Seoul on May 3 amid continuous light rain and cloudy skies, but trader sentiment reflects deep uncertainty, pricing 13°C and 14°C outcomes at equal 50% implied probabilities due to suppressed daytime heating from persistent overcast conditions and precipitation. Recent observations show a sharp pattern shift—clear skies boosted May 1 highs to 24°C, while May 2's cloudiness caps at 23°C—highlighting sensitivity to moisture advection from easterly flows. Ensemble models diverge slightly on afternoon peaks, hinging on rainfall intensity and potential brief cloud breaks allowing 1°C swings in solar insolation. Updated KMA guidance expected within 24 hours may clarify this razor-thin split before resolution based on official station measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 1, 2026, 12:50 AM ET
Volumen
$16Fecha de finalización
3 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 1, 2026, 12:50 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration's latest short-term forecast projects a maximum temperature of 16°C in Seoul on May 3 amid continuous light rain and cloudy skies, but trader sentiment reflects deep uncertainty, pricing 13°C and 14°C outcomes at equal 50% implied probabilities due to suppressed daytime heating from persistent overcast conditions and precipitation. Recent observations show a sharp pattern shift—clear skies boosted May 1 highs to 24°C, while May 2's cloudiness caps at 23°C—highlighting sensitivity to moisture advection from easterly flows. Ensemble models diverge slightly on afternoon peaks, hinging on rainfall intensity and potential brief cloud breaks allowing 1°C swings in solar insolation. Updated KMA guidance expected within 24 hours may clarify this razor-thin split before resolution based on official station measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$16Fecha de finalización
3 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 1, 2026, 12:50 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Korea Meteorological Administration's latest short-term forecast projects a maximum temperature of 16°C in Seoul on May 3 amid continuous light rain and cloudy skies, but trader sentiment reflects deep uncertainty, pricing 13°C and 14°C outcomes at equal 50% implied probabilities due to suppressed daytime heating from persistent overcast conditions and precipitation. Recent observations show a sharp pattern shift—clear skies boosted May 1 highs to 24°C, while May 2's cloudiness caps at 23°C—highlighting sensitivity to moisture advection from easterly flows. Ensemble models diverge slightly on afternoon peaks, hinging on rainfall intensity and potential brief cloud breaks allowing 1°C swings in solar insolation. Updated KMA guidance expected within 24 hours may clarify this razor-thin split before resolution based on official station measurements.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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