Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a Beijing high of 27°C (38%) or 28°C (31%), narrowly ahead of 26°C (22.5%), reflecting springtime uncertainty in short-range forecasts amid a recent warm spell with today's peak near 28°C. China Meteorological Administration (CMA) models, including National Meteorological Center (NMC) hourly guidance, project a May 1 maximum of 25-26°C under partly cloudy skies and light southeast winds, potentially capping solar heating and afternoon peaks around 14:00 local time. Differentiating factors include variable cloud cover reducing insolation, cooler air advection from the north post-holiday front, and Beijing's urban heat island effect that could push readings 1-2°C above rural models. Historical early May averages hover at 25°C; monitor NMC updates overnight for refined ensemble guidance as resolution nears.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Beijing on May 1?
Highest temperature in Beijing on May 1?
27°C 38%
28°C 34%
26°C 23%
29°C 7%
NUEVO
$22,426 Vol.
NUEVO
$22,426 Vol.
1 may 2026
23°C or below
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
3%
26°C
23%
27°C
38%
28°C
34%
29°C
7%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
27°C 38%
28°C 34%
26°C 23%
29°C 7%
NUEVO
$22,426 Vol.
NUEVO
$22,426 Vol.
1 may 2026
23°C or below
$3,306 Vol.
1%
24°C
$1,971 Vol.
1%
25°C
$2,786 Vol.
3%
26°C
$1,316 Vol.
23%
27°C
$1,811 Vol.
38%
28°C
$863 Vol.
34%
29°C
$1,109 Vol.
7%
30°C
$2,569 Vol.
1%
31°C
$2,760 Vol.
1%
32°C
$2,417 Vol.
<1%
33°C or higher
$1,617 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a Beijing high of 27°C (38%) or 28°C (31%), narrowly ahead of 26°C (22.5%), reflecting springtime uncertainty in short-range forecasts amid a recent warm spell with today's peak near 28°C. China Meteorological Administration (CMA) models, including National Meteorological Center (NMC) hourly guidance, project a May 1 maximum of 25-26°C under partly cloudy skies and light southeast winds, potentially capping solar heating and afternoon peaks around 14:00 local time. Differentiating factors include variable cloud cover reducing insolation, cooler air advection from the north post-holiday front, and Beijing's urban heat island effect that could push readings 1-2°C above rural models. Historical early May averages hover at 25°C; monitor NMC updates overnight for refined ensemble guidance as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 29, 2026, 12:15 AM ET
Volumen
$22,426Fecha de finalización
1 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 29, 2026, 12:15 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a Beijing high of 27°C (38%) or 28°C (31%), narrowly ahead of 26°C (22.5%), reflecting springtime uncertainty in short-range forecasts amid a recent warm spell with today's peak near 28°C. China Meteorological Administration (CMA) models, including National Meteorological Center (NMC) hourly guidance, project a May 1 maximum of 25-26°C under partly cloudy skies and light southeast winds, potentially capping solar heating and afternoon peaks around 14:00 local time. Differentiating factors include variable cloud cover reducing insolation, cooler air advection from the north post-holiday front, and Beijing's urban heat island effect that could push readings 1-2°C above rural models. Historical early May averages hover at 25°C; monitor NMC updates overnight for refined ensemble guidance as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$22,426Fecha de finalización
1 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 29, 2026, 12:15 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a Beijing high of 27°C (38%) or 28°C (31%), narrowly ahead of 26°C (22.5%), reflecting springtime uncertainty in short-range forecasts amid a recent warm spell with today's peak near 28°C. China Meteorological Administration (CMA) models, including National Meteorological Center (NMC) hourly guidance, project a May 1 maximum of 25-26°C under partly cloudy skies and light southeast winds, potentially capping solar heating and afternoon peaks around 14:00 local time. Differentiating factors include variable cloud cover reducing insolation, cooler air advection from the north post-holiday front, and Beijing's urban heat island effect that could push readings 1-2°C above rural models. Historical early May averages hover at 25°C; monitor NMC updates overnight for refined ensemble guidance as resolution nears.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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