Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 18°C (24%) and 19°C (23%) for Paris's highest temperature on May 3, reflecting ensemble forecast consensus from Météo-France, ECMWF, and GFS models amid inherent short-range uncertainty in cloud cover and shower timing. Recent developments driving this positioning include the end of a mild anticyclonic spell—highs reached 26°C on May 1 under clear skies—transitioning to a cooler southwestern oceanic air mass with widespread clouds and 4 mm showers forecast for May 3, capping peaks below 20°C in most runs. Historical early-May averages hover near 18°C at Paris-Montsouris station, but above-normal soil moisture from late-April storms tempers warming potential. Watch overnight model updates and May 2 observations for shifts, as afternoon insolation versus precipitation could differentiate outcomes by 1°C.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Paris on May 3?
Highest temperature in Paris on May 3?
19°C 39%
18°C 22%
20°C 17%
17°C 8%
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 may 2026
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
8%
18°C
22%
19°C
39%
20°C
17%
21°C
7%
22°C
2%
23°C or higher
1%
19°C 39%
18°C 22%
20°C 17%
17°C 8%
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 may 2026
13°C or below
$866 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$98 Vol.
1%
15°C
$158 Vol.
1%
16°C
$196 Vol.
1%
17°C
$499 Vol.
8%
18°C
$846 Vol.
22%
19°C
$629 Vol.
39%
20°C
$334 Vol.
17%
21°C
$492 Vol.
7%
22°C
$272 Vol.
2%
23°C or higher
$935 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 18°C (24%) and 19°C (23%) for Paris's highest temperature on May 3, reflecting ensemble forecast consensus from Météo-France, ECMWF, and GFS models amid inherent short-range uncertainty in cloud cover and shower timing. Recent developments driving this positioning include the end of a mild anticyclonic spell—highs reached 26°C on May 1 under clear skies—transitioning to a cooler southwestern oceanic air mass with widespread clouds and 4 mm showers forecast for May 3, capping peaks below 20°C in most runs. Historical early-May averages hover near 18°C at Paris-Montsouris station, but above-normal soil moisture from late-April storms tempers warming potential. Watch overnight model updates and May 2 observations for shifts, as afternoon insolation versus precipitation could differentiate outcomes by 1°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 1, 2026, 12:17 AM ET
Volumen
$5,324Fecha de finalización
3 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 1, 2026, 12:17 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 18°C (24%) and 19°C (23%) for Paris's highest temperature on May 3, reflecting ensemble forecast consensus from Météo-France, ECMWF, and GFS models amid inherent short-range uncertainty in cloud cover and shower timing. Recent developments driving this positioning include the end of a mild anticyclonic spell—highs reached 26°C on May 1 under clear skies—transitioning to a cooler southwestern oceanic air mass with widespread clouds and 4 mm showers forecast for May 3, capping peaks below 20°C in most runs. Historical early-May averages hover near 18°C at Paris-Montsouris station, but above-normal soil moisture from late-April storms tempers warming potential. Watch overnight model updates and May 2 observations for shifts, as afternoon insolation versus precipitation could differentiate outcomes by 1°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$5,324Fecha de finalización
3 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 1, 2026, 12:17 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 18°C (24%) and 19°C (23%) for Paris's highest temperature on May 3, reflecting ensemble forecast consensus from Météo-France, ECMWF, and GFS models amid inherent short-range uncertainty in cloud cover and shower timing. Recent developments driving this positioning include the end of a mild anticyclonic spell—highs reached 26°C on May 1 under clear skies—transitioning to a cooler southwestern oceanic air mass with widespread clouds and 4 mm showers forecast for May 3, capping peaks below 20°C in most runs. Historical early-May averages hover near 18°C at Paris-Montsouris station, but above-normal soil moisture from late-April storms tempers warming potential. Watch overnight model updates and May 2 observations for shifts, as afternoon insolation versus precipitation could differentiate outcomes by 1°C.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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