Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF, GFS, and Russia's Hydrometeorological Center converge on a daytime high near 18–21°C in Moscow on May 3, driving trader consensus toward those outcomes after a recent arctic air outbreak brought May 1 highs to just 8–11°C. The slight edge for 18°C reflects yr.no's precise 18°C projection under partly cloudy skies with moderate southwest winds at 4 m/s, while Gismeteo's 21°C anticipates fuller solar heating amid clearing conditions. Differentiating factors include residual cloudiness from the departing cold front, wind-driven temperature advection, and soil moisture dampening highs; full sunshine could push toward 22°C, but climatological early-May averages of 15–18°C cap extremes. New model runs expected daily through resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Moscow on May 3?
Highest temperature in Moscow on May 3?
21°C 24%
20°C 21%
19°C 18%
18°C 14%
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 may 2026
14°C or below
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
4%
17°C
6%
18°C
14%
19°C
18%
20°C
21%
21°C
24%
22°C
11%
23°C
6%
24°C or higher
5%
21°C 24%
20°C 21%
19°C 18%
18°C 14%
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 may 2026
14°C or below
$530 Vol.
1%
15°C
$250 Vol.
1%
16°C
$700 Vol.
4%
17°C
$258 Vol.
6%
18°C
$134 Vol.
14%
19°C
$113 Vol.
18%
20°C
$75 Vol.
21%
21°C
$27 Vol.
24%
22°C
$157 Vol.
11%
23°C
$35 Vol.
6%
24°C or higher
$91 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF, GFS, and Russia's Hydrometeorological Center converge on a daytime high near 18–21°C in Moscow on May 3, driving trader consensus toward those outcomes after a recent arctic air outbreak brought May 1 highs to just 8–11°C. The slight edge for 18°C reflects yr.no's precise 18°C projection under partly cloudy skies with moderate southwest winds at 4 m/s, while Gismeteo's 21°C anticipates fuller solar heating amid clearing conditions. Differentiating factors include residual cloudiness from the departing cold front, wind-driven temperature advection, and soil moisture dampening highs; full sunshine could push toward 22°C, but climatological early-May averages of 15–18°C cap extremes. New model runs expected daily through resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 1, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Volumen
$2,285Fecha de finalización
3 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 1, 2026, 12:32 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF, GFS, and Russia's Hydrometeorological Center converge on a daytime high near 18–21°C in Moscow on May 3, driving trader consensus toward those outcomes after a recent arctic air outbreak brought May 1 highs to just 8–11°C. The slight edge for 18°C reflects yr.no's precise 18°C projection under partly cloudy skies with moderate southwest winds at 4 m/s, while Gismeteo's 21°C anticipates fuller solar heating amid clearing conditions. Differentiating factors include residual cloudiness from the departing cold front, wind-driven temperature advection, and soil moisture dampening highs; full sunshine could push toward 22°C, but climatological early-May averages of 15–18°C cap extremes. New model runs expected daily through resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$2,285Fecha de finalización
3 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 1, 2026, 12:32 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF, GFS, and Russia's Hydrometeorological Center converge on a daytime high near 18–21°C in Moscow on May 3, driving trader consensus toward those outcomes after a recent arctic air outbreak brought May 1 highs to just 8–11°C. The slight edge for 18°C reflects yr.no's precise 18°C projection under partly cloudy skies with moderate southwest winds at 4 m/s, while Gismeteo's 21°C anticipates fuller solar heating amid clearing conditions. Differentiating factors include residual cloudiness from the departing cold front, wind-driven temperature advection, and soil moisture dampening highs; full sunshine could push toward 22°C, but climatological early-May averages of 15–18°C cap extremes. New model runs expected daily through resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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