Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 84.5% implied probability to a 20°C high temperature in Munich today, driven by the Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) latest forecast pinpointing a late-afternoon peak of 20°C under the dominant high-pressure system WINFRIED. This blocking pattern has delivered clear skies, low humidity (33% at noon), and light westerly winds (26 km/h), fostering strong diurnal heating from morning lows near 7°C—current airport observations at 16°C midday confirm the trajectory. Ensemble models like ECMWF and GFS align closely, elevating odds above climatological early-May averages of 17–18°C while capping 21°C+ chances due to lacking southerly heat advection. Afternoon station data and DWD updates remain key before resolution via official maxima.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Munich on May 1?
Highest temperature in Munich on May 1?
20°C 90%
21°C 10%
22°C <1%
23°C or higher <1%
$73,115 Vol.
$73,115 Vol.
1 may 2026
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
90%
21°C
10%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
20°C 90%
21°C 10%
22°C <1%
23°C or higher <1%
$73,115 Vol.
$73,115 Vol.
1 may 2026
18°C
$24,585 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$11,069 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$5,662 Vol.
90%
21°C
$5,533 Vol.
10%
22°C
$5,425 Vol.
<1%
23°C or higher
$5,083 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 84.5% implied probability to a 20°C high temperature in Munich today, driven by the Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) latest forecast pinpointing a late-afternoon peak of 20°C under the dominant high-pressure system WINFRIED. This blocking pattern has delivered clear skies, low humidity (33% at noon), and light westerly winds (26 km/h), fostering strong diurnal heating from morning lows near 7°C—current airport observations at 16°C midday confirm the trajectory. Ensemble models like ECMWF and GFS align closely, elevating odds above climatological early-May averages of 17–18°C while capping 21°C+ chances due to lacking southerly heat advection. Afternoon station data and DWD updates remain key before resolution via official maxima.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 29, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volumen
$73,115Fecha de finalización
1 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 29, 2026, 12:06 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Ventana de disputas
Final
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 84.5% implied probability to a 20°C high temperature in Munich today, driven by the Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) latest forecast pinpointing a late-afternoon peak of 20°C under the dominant high-pressure system WINFRIED. This blocking pattern has delivered clear skies, low humidity (33% at noon), and light westerly winds (26 km/h), fostering strong diurnal heating from morning lows near 7°C—current airport observations at 16°C midday confirm the trajectory. Ensemble models like ECMWF and GFS align closely, elevating odds above climatological early-May averages of 17–18°C while capping 21°C+ chances due to lacking southerly heat advection. Afternoon station data and DWD updates remain key before resolution via official maxima.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$73,115Fecha de finalización
1 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 29, 2026, 12:06 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Ventana de disputas
Final
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 84.5% implied probability to a 20°C high temperature in Munich today, driven by the Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) latest forecast pinpointing a late-afternoon peak of 20°C under the dominant high-pressure system WINFRIED. This blocking pattern has delivered clear skies, low humidity (33% at noon), and light westerly winds (26 km/h), fostering strong diurnal heating from morning lows near 7°C—current airport observations at 16°C midday confirm the trajectory. Ensemble models like ECMWF and GFS align closely, elevating odds above climatological early-May averages of 17–18°C while capping 21°C+ chances due to lacking southerly heat advection. Afternoon station data and DWD updates remain key before resolution via official maxima.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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