PAGASA's latest extended outlook, issued April 30, forecasts a 36°C high for Metro Manila on May 3 under clear skies with just 10% rain chance from easterlies, elevating trader consensus toward 35–37°C outcomes amid May's dry-season peak. This recent model update using the WRF system shifted from prior 32–33°C projections, reflecting stronger solar insolation and minimal cloud interference at key stations like Science Garden in Quezon City. Differentiating factors include urban heat island amplification in Manila, potential for isolated thunderstorms capping peaks below 35°C, or prolonged sunshine pushing toward 37°C; historical May highs average 34°C but frequently exceed 36°C. Watch PAGASA's daily 5 PM updates for refined guidance ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Manila on May 3?
Highest temperature in Manila on May 3?
36°C 39%
35°C 31%
37°C 23%
34°C 8%
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 may 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
3%
34°C
8%
35°C
31%
36°C
39%
37°C
23%
38°C
2%
39°C or higher
1%
36°C 39%
35°C 31%
37°C 23%
34°C 8%
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 may 2026
29°C or below
$779 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$95 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$228 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$215 Vol.
1%
33°C
$293 Vol.
3%
34°C
$130 Vol.
8%
35°C
$21 Vol.
31%
36°C
$11 Vol.
39%
37°C
$0 Vol.
23%
38°C
$20 Vol.
2%
39°C or higher
$20 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.PAGASA's latest extended outlook, issued April 30, forecasts a 36°C high for Metro Manila on May 3 under clear skies with just 10% rain chance from easterlies, elevating trader consensus toward 35–37°C outcomes amid May's dry-season peak. This recent model update using the WRF system shifted from prior 32–33°C projections, reflecting stronger solar insolation and minimal cloud interference at key stations like Science Garden in Quezon City. Differentiating factors include urban heat island amplification in Manila, potential for isolated thunderstorms capping peaks below 35°C, or prolonged sunshine pushing toward 37°C; historical May highs average 34°C but frequently exceed 36°C. Watch PAGASA's daily 5 PM updates for refined guidance ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 1, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Volumen
$1,813Fecha de finalización
3 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 1, 2026, 12:32 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.PAGASA's latest extended outlook, issued April 30, forecasts a 36°C high for Metro Manila on May 3 under clear skies with just 10% rain chance from easterlies, elevating trader consensus toward 35–37°C outcomes amid May's dry-season peak. This recent model update using the WRF system shifted from prior 32–33°C projections, reflecting stronger solar insolation and minimal cloud interference at key stations like Science Garden in Quezon City. Differentiating factors include urban heat island amplification in Manila, potential for isolated thunderstorms capping peaks below 35°C, or prolonged sunshine pushing toward 37°C; historical May highs average 34°C but frequently exceed 36°C. Watch PAGASA's daily 5 PM updates for refined guidance ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$1,813Fecha de finalización
3 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 1, 2026, 12:32 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...PAGASA's latest extended outlook, issued April 30, forecasts a 36°C high for Metro Manila on May 3 under clear skies with just 10% rain chance from easterlies, elevating trader consensus toward 35–37°C outcomes amid May's dry-season peak. This recent model update using the WRF system shifted from prior 32–33°C projections, reflecting stronger solar insolation and minimal cloud interference at key stations like Science Garden in Quezon City. Differentiating factors include urban heat island amplification in Manila, potential for isolated thunderstorms capping peaks below 35°C, or prolonged sunshine pushing toward 37°C; historical May highs average 34°C but frequently exceed 36°C. Watch PAGASA's daily 5 PM updates for refined guidance ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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