Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in Paris's nocturnal minimum temperature on May 3, with model ensembles diverging amid typical spring variability influenced by Atlantic fronts and urban heat island effects. Météo-France's latest Île-de-France bulletin forecasts mild conditions continuing from the past week’s pleasant 8–26°C range, projecting a low near 10–12°C under partly cloudy skies, while AccuWeather indicates 14°C and ECMWF/GFS runs show slight spread toward 11–13°C depending on overnight cloud cover and light southerly winds that could limit radiative cooling. Key differentiators include potential low-level inversions stifling cold air drainage versus clearer skies enabling sharper drops; new 12Z model updates expected May 1 afternoon may sharpen probabilities before resolution via official Paris-Montsouris station data.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en París el 3 de mayo?
¿Temperatura más baja en París el 3 de mayo?
14°C 27%
15°C 27%
13°C 26%
11°C 23%
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 may 2026
8°C o menos
1%
9°C
1%
10°C
12%
11°C
23%
12°C
23%
13°C
26%
14°C
27%
15°C
27%
16°C
23%
17°C
5%
18°C o más
5%
14°C 27%
15°C 27%
13°C 26%
11°C 23%
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 may 2026
8°C o menos
$35 Vol.
1%
9°C
$165 Vol.
1%
10°C
$0 Vol.
12%
11°C
$0 Vol.
23%
12°C
$0 Vol.
23%
13°C
$2 Vol.
26%
14°C
$0 Vol.
27%
15°C
$0 Vol.
27%
16°C
$2 Vol.
23%
17°C
$28 Vol.
5%
18°C o más
$317 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in Paris's nocturnal minimum temperature on May 3, with model ensembles diverging amid typical spring variability influenced by Atlantic fronts and urban heat island effects. Météo-France's latest Île-de-France bulletin forecasts mild conditions continuing from the past week’s pleasant 8–26°C range, projecting a low near 10–12°C under partly cloudy skies, while AccuWeather indicates 14°C and ECMWF/GFS runs show slight spread toward 11–13°C depending on overnight cloud cover and light southerly winds that could limit radiative cooling. Key differentiators include potential low-level inversions stifling cold air drainage versus clearer skies enabling sharper drops; new 12Z model updates expected May 1 afternoon may sharpen probabilities before resolution via official Paris-Montsouris station data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 1, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Volumen
$549Fecha de finalización
3 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 1, 2026, 12:01 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in Paris's nocturnal minimum temperature on May 3, with model ensembles diverging amid typical spring variability influenced by Atlantic fronts and urban heat island effects. Météo-France's latest Île-de-France bulletin forecasts mild conditions continuing from the past week’s pleasant 8–26°C range, projecting a low near 10–12°C under partly cloudy skies, while AccuWeather indicates 14°C and ECMWF/GFS runs show slight spread toward 11–13°C depending on overnight cloud cover and light southerly winds that could limit radiative cooling. Key differentiators include potential low-level inversions stifling cold air drainage versus clearer skies enabling sharper drops; new 12Z model updates expected May 1 afternoon may sharpen probabilities before resolution via official Paris-Montsouris station data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$549Fecha de finalización
3 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 1, 2026, 12:01 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in Paris's nocturnal minimum temperature on May 3, with model ensembles diverging amid typical spring variability influenced by Atlantic fronts and urban heat island effects. Météo-France's latest Île-de-France bulletin forecasts mild conditions continuing from the past week’s pleasant 8–26°C range, projecting a low near 10–12°C under partly cloudy skies, while AccuWeather indicates 14°C and ECMWF/GFS runs show slight spread toward 11–13°C depending on overnight cloud cover and light southerly winds that could limit radiative cooling. Key differentiators include potential low-level inversions stifling cold air drainage versus clearer skies enabling sharper drops; new 12Z model updates expected May 1 afternoon may sharpen probabilities before resolution via official Paris-Montsouris station data.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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