Latest Météo-France guidance and ensemble forecast models like ECMWF and GFS indicate Paris highs clustering around 25°C on May 1, reflecting trader consensus with 25°C at 42.5% implied probability amid a high-pressure ridge ushering in above-normal spring warmth—today's April 30 maximum hit 25°C under sunny skies. Light easterly winds and ample insolation favor mid-20s peaks near Paris-Le Bourget Airport, the market's resolution station, but slight model spread arises from potential afternoon cloudiness or isolated showers (20-60% odds per sources), which could shave 1°C to land at 24°C or allow clearer conditions to nudge toward 26°C. New overnight runs and hourly observations will sharpen the outlook as resolution nears.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Paris on May 1?
Highest temperature in Paris on May 1?
25°C 43%
26°C 34%
24°C 22%
23°C 3.9%
NUEVO
$23,961 Vol.
NUEVO
$23,961 Vol.
1 may 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
4%
24°C
22%
25°C
43%
26°C
34%
27°C
2%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
25°C 43%
26°C 34%
24°C 22%
23°C 3.9%
NUEVO
$23,961 Vol.
NUEVO
$23,961 Vol.
1 may 2026
20°C or below
$1,150 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$1,677 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$2,206 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$3,027 Vol.
4%
24°C
$3,246 Vol.
22%
25°C
$3,065 Vol.
43%
26°C
$2,600 Vol.
34%
27°C
$3,045 Vol.
2%
28°C
$3,058 Vol.
1%
29°C
$1,329 Vol.
<1%
30°C or higher
$223 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Météo-France guidance and ensemble forecast models like ECMWF and GFS indicate Paris highs clustering around 25°C on May 1, reflecting trader consensus with 25°C at 42.5% implied probability amid a high-pressure ridge ushering in above-normal spring warmth—today's April 30 maximum hit 25°C under sunny skies. Light easterly winds and ample insolation favor mid-20s peaks near Paris-Le Bourget Airport, the market's resolution station, but slight model spread arises from potential afternoon cloudiness or isolated showers (20-60% odds per sources), which could shave 1°C to land at 24°C or allow clearer conditions to nudge toward 26°C. New overnight runs and hourly observations will sharpen the outlook as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 29, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volumen
$23,961Fecha de finalización
1 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 29, 2026, 12:06 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Météo-France guidance and ensemble forecast models like ECMWF and GFS indicate Paris highs clustering around 25°C on May 1, reflecting trader consensus with 25°C at 42.5% implied probability amid a high-pressure ridge ushering in above-normal spring warmth—today's April 30 maximum hit 25°C under sunny skies. Light easterly winds and ample insolation favor mid-20s peaks near Paris-Le Bourget Airport, the market's resolution station, but slight model spread arises from potential afternoon cloudiness or isolated showers (20-60% odds per sources), which could shave 1°C to land at 24°C or allow clearer conditions to nudge toward 26°C. New overnight runs and hourly observations will sharpen the outlook as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$23,961Fecha de finalización
1 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 29, 2026, 12:06 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest Météo-France guidance and ensemble forecast models like ECMWF and GFS indicate Paris highs clustering around 25°C on May 1, reflecting trader consensus with 25°C at 42.5% implied probability amid a high-pressure ridge ushering in above-normal spring warmth—today's April 30 maximum hit 25°C under sunny skies. Light easterly winds and ample insolation favor mid-20s peaks near Paris-Le Bourget Airport, the market's resolution station, but slight model spread arises from potential afternoon cloudiness or isolated showers (20-60% odds per sources), which could shave 1°C to land at 24°C or allow clearer conditions to nudge toward 26°C. New overnight runs and hourly observations will sharpen the outlook as resolution nears.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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