Trader consensus clusters tightly around 23-25°C for Wuhan's highest temperature on May 3, reflecting the latest forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles like ECMWF, which project highs near 24°C amid partly cloudy skies and light breeze. This positioning stems from early May climatological norms of 24-26°C daytime maxima in the Yangtze River basin, following a past week's fluctuating spring weather with recent rainfall suppressing peaks to 19-26°C and fostering model uncertainty of ±1-2°C due to variable cloud cover and frontal influences. Low probabilities for extremes align with historical rarity—deviations beyond 22-26°C occur in under 10% of early May days—while daily CMA updates and Wuhan Tianhe Airport observations through May 2 will likely sharpen the narrow spread before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Wuhan on May 3?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on May 3?
24°C 22%
25°C 21%
26°C 18%
23°C 17%
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 may 2026
19°C or below
4%
20°C
4%
21°C
4%
22°C
16%
23°C
17%
24°C
22%
25°C
21%
26°C
18%
27°C
4%
28°C
3%
29°C or higher
3%
24°C 22%
25°C 21%
26°C 18%
23°C 17%
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 may 2026
19°C or below
$0 Vol.
4%
20°C
$0 Vol.
4%
21°C
$0 Vol.
4%
22°C
$0 Vol.
16%
23°C
$0 Vol.
17%
24°C
$0 Vol.
22%
25°C
$0 Vol.
21%
26°C
$0 Vol.
18%
27°C
$0 Vol.
4%
28°C
$0 Vol.
3%
29°C or higher
$0 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus clusters tightly around 23-25°C for Wuhan's highest temperature on May 3, reflecting the latest forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles like ECMWF, which project highs near 24°C amid partly cloudy skies and light breeze. This positioning stems from early May climatological norms of 24-26°C daytime maxima in the Yangtze River basin, following a past week's fluctuating spring weather with recent rainfall suppressing peaks to 19-26°C and fostering model uncertainty of ±1-2°C due to variable cloud cover and frontal influences. Low probabilities for extremes align with historical rarity—deviations beyond 22-26°C occur in under 10% of early May days—while daily CMA updates and Wuhan Tianhe Airport observations through May 2 will likely sharpen the narrow spread before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 1, 2026, 12:38 AM ET
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
3 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 1, 2026, 12:38 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus clusters tightly around 23-25°C for Wuhan's highest temperature on May 3, reflecting the latest forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles like ECMWF, which project highs near 24°C amid partly cloudy skies and light breeze. This positioning stems from early May climatological norms of 24-26°C daytime maxima in the Yangtze River basin, following a past week's fluctuating spring weather with recent rainfall suppressing peaks to 19-26°C and fostering model uncertainty of ±1-2°C due to variable cloud cover and frontal influences. Low probabilities for extremes align with historical rarity—deviations beyond 22-26°C occur in under 10% of early May days—while daily CMA updates and Wuhan Tianhe Airport observations through May 2 will likely sharpen the narrow spread before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
3 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 1, 2026, 12:38 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus clusters tightly around 23-25°C for Wuhan's highest temperature on May 3, reflecting the latest forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles like ECMWF, which project highs near 24°C amid partly cloudy skies and light breeze. This positioning stems from early May climatological norms of 24-26°C daytime maxima in the Yangtze River basin, following a past week's fluctuating spring weather with recent rainfall suppressing peaks to 19-26°C and fostering model uncertainty of ±1-2°C due to variable cloud cover and frontal influences. Low probabilities for extremes align with historical rarity—deviations beyond 22-26°C occur in under 10% of early May days—while daily CMA updates and Wuhan Tianhe Airport observations through May 2 will likely sharpen the narrow spread before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes