China Meteorological Administration's latest forecasts project Chengdu's May 1 high temperature near 21–23°C under overcast skies with light rain risks, anchoring trader-implied probabilities at 22°C or higher (47%), 21°C (30%), and 20°C (24%). This reflects lingering effects from a late-April cold air mass and northerly winds that curtailed solar heating, as seen in recent subdued highs around 20–22°C. Chengdu's basin location promotes persistent cloudiness and humidity, tempering typical early-May averages of 24–26°C. Model consensus shows modest uncertainty, with potential clearing boosting peaks above 22°C; watch CMA updates through May 1 for refinements ahead of official observations from Shuangliu station.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Chengdu on May 1?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on May 1?
22°C or higher 46.8%
21°C 30%
20°C 25%
19°C 7.0%
NUEVO
$13,461 Vol.
NUEVO
$13,461 Vol.
1 may 2026
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
7%
20°C
25%
21°C
30%
22°C or higher
47%
22°C or higher 46.8%
21°C 30%
20°C 25%
19°C 7.0%
NUEVO
$13,461 Vol.
NUEVO
$13,461 Vol.
1 may 2026
12°C or below
$1,186 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$1,180 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$1,379 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$526 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$1,616 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$1,272 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$2,048 Vol.
1%
19°C
$1,538 Vol.
7%
20°C
$748 Vol.
25%
21°C
$654 Vol.
30%
22°C or higher
$1,936 Vol.
47%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.China Meteorological Administration's latest forecasts project Chengdu's May 1 high temperature near 21–23°C under overcast skies with light rain risks, anchoring trader-implied probabilities at 22°C or higher (47%), 21°C (30%), and 20°C (24%). This reflects lingering effects from a late-April cold air mass and northerly winds that curtailed solar heating, as seen in recent subdued highs around 20–22°C. Chengdu's basin location promotes persistent cloudiness and humidity, tempering typical early-May averages of 24–26°C. Model consensus shows modest uncertainty, with potential clearing boosting peaks above 22°C; watch CMA updates through May 1 for refinements ahead of official observations from Shuangliu station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 29, 2026, 12:23 AM ET
Volumen
$13,461Fecha de finalización
1 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 29, 2026, 12:23 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.China Meteorological Administration's latest forecasts project Chengdu's May 1 high temperature near 21–23°C under overcast skies with light rain risks, anchoring trader-implied probabilities at 22°C or higher (47%), 21°C (30%), and 20°C (24%). This reflects lingering effects from a late-April cold air mass and northerly winds that curtailed solar heating, as seen in recent subdued highs around 20–22°C. Chengdu's basin location promotes persistent cloudiness and humidity, tempering typical early-May averages of 24–26°C. Model consensus shows modest uncertainty, with potential clearing boosting peaks above 22°C; watch CMA updates through May 1 for refinements ahead of official observations from Shuangliu station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$13,461Fecha de finalización
1 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 29, 2026, 12:23 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...China Meteorological Administration's latest forecasts project Chengdu's May 1 high temperature near 21–23°C under overcast skies with light rain risks, anchoring trader-implied probabilities at 22°C or higher (47%), 21°C (30%), and 20°C (24%). This reflects lingering effects from a late-April cold air mass and northerly winds that curtailed solar heating, as seen in recent subdued highs around 20–22°C. Chengdu's basin location promotes persistent cloudiness and humidity, tempering typical early-May averages of 24–26°C. Model consensus shows modest uncertainty, with potential clearing boosting peaks above 22°C; watch CMA updates through May 1 for refinements ahead of official observations from Shuangliu station.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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