Trader consensus on Polymarket evenly splits at 50% across 18°C or below, 19°C, and 20°C for Tel Aviv's May 3 high temperature, mirroring substantial uncertainty in short-range forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service (IMS) and global models like GFS and ECMWF. Recent IMS data shows May 1 highs at 22°C under partly cloudy skies—cooler than the typical early May average of 24–26°C—driven by northerly winds and lingering cooler air masses from a wetter March. Differing model ensembles highlight key variables: potential cloud cover increases (up to 80% precip chance in some runs) and sea breeze intensification could cap peaks at 18–19°C, while clearer conditions favor 20°C. New 00Z and 12Z model updates expected within 24 hours may clarify steering patterns and temperature anomalies.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on May 3?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on May 3?
25°C 40%
26°C 24%
24°C 23%
27°C 8%
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 may 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
2%
21°C
1%
22°C
2%
23°C
4%
24°C
23%
25°C
40%
26°C
24%
27°C
8%
28°C or higher
3%
25°C 40%
26°C 24%
24°C 23%
27°C 8%
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 may 2026
18°C or below
$422 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$57 Vol.
1%
20°C
$67 Vol.
2%
21°C
$130 Vol.
1%
22°C
$272 Vol.
2%
23°C
$333 Vol.
4%
24°C
$257 Vol.
23%
25°C
$301 Vol.
40%
26°C
$94 Vol.
24%
27°C
$81 Vol.
8%
28°C or higher
$179 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket evenly splits at 50% across 18°C or below, 19°C, and 20°C for Tel Aviv's May 3 high temperature, mirroring substantial uncertainty in short-range forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service (IMS) and global models like GFS and ECMWF. Recent IMS data shows May 1 highs at 22°C under partly cloudy skies—cooler than the typical early May average of 24–26°C—driven by northerly winds and lingering cooler air masses from a wetter March. Differing model ensembles highlight key variables: potential cloud cover increases (up to 80% precip chance in some runs) and sea breeze intensification could cap peaks at 18–19°C, while clearer conditions favor 20°C. New 00Z and 12Z model updates expected within 24 hours may clarify steering patterns and temperature anomalies.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 1, 2026, 12:37 AM ET
Volumen
$2,193Fecha de finalización
3 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 1, 2026, 12:37 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket evenly splits at 50% across 18°C or below, 19°C, and 20°C for Tel Aviv's May 3 high temperature, mirroring substantial uncertainty in short-range forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service (IMS) and global models like GFS and ECMWF. Recent IMS data shows May 1 highs at 22°C under partly cloudy skies—cooler than the typical early May average of 24–26°C—driven by northerly winds and lingering cooler air masses from a wetter March. Differing model ensembles highlight key variables: potential cloud cover increases (up to 80% precip chance in some runs) and sea breeze intensification could cap peaks at 18–19°C, while clearer conditions favor 20°C. New 00Z and 12Z model updates expected within 24 hours may clarify steering patterns and temperature anomalies.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$2,193Fecha de finalización
3 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 1, 2026, 12:37 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket evenly splits at 50% across 18°C or below, 19°C, and 20°C for Tel Aviv's May 3 high temperature, mirroring substantial uncertainty in short-range forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service (IMS) and global models like GFS and ECMWF. Recent IMS data shows May 1 highs at 22°C under partly cloudy skies—cooler than the typical early May average of 24–26°C—driven by northerly winds and lingering cooler air masses from a wetter March. Differing model ensembles highlight key variables: potential cloud cover increases (up to 80% precip chance in some runs) and sea breeze intensification could cap peaks at 18–19°C, while clearer conditions favor 20°C. New 00Z and 12Z model updates expected within 24 hours may clarify steering patterns and temperature anomalies.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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