Latest forecast models, including AccuWeather projections, indicate a high of 31°C for Chongqing on May 1 under partly sunny skies and light winds, boosting trader consensus to 70% implied probability for 25°C or higher as the leading outcome. This aligns with the city's subtropical monsoon climate and basin topography, which traps heat and promotes rapid warming in early May, where historical highs average 27°C amid rising seasonal temperatures. Recent April trends show daily highs of 23–29°C, with April 30 observations near 24°C under overcast conditions, setting up continued mild advection. Uncertainty persists from potential convective showers or model divergences, reflected in 26% odds for 24°C; monitor China Meteorological Administration updates for final guidance before resolution based on official station data.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Chongqing on May 1?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on May 1?
25°C or higher 65.1%
24°C 25%
23°C 5%
22°C 1.6%
$17,617 Vol.
$17,617 Vol.
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
2%
23°C
5%
24°C
25%
25°C or higher
65%
25°C or higher 65.1%
24°C 25%
23°C 5%
22°C 1.6%
$17,617 Vol.
$17,617 Vol.
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
2%
23°C
5%
24°C
25%
25°C or higher
65%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 29, 2026, 12:39 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecast models, including AccuWeather projections, indicate a high of 31°C for Chongqing on May 1 under partly sunny skies and light winds, boosting trader consensus to 70% implied probability for 25°C or higher as the leading outcome. This aligns with the city's subtropical monsoon climate and basin topography, which traps heat and promotes rapid warming in early May, where historical highs average 27°C amid rising seasonal temperatures. Recent April trends show daily highs of 23–29°C, with April 30 observations near 24°C under overcast conditions, setting up continued mild advection. Uncertainty persists from potential convective showers or model divergences, reflected in 26% odds for 24°C; monitor China Meteorological Administration updates for final guidance before resolution based on official station data.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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