Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models project Shanghai's May 1 high temperature at 24-26°C, reflecting trader consensus with 25°C (39.5% implied probability) edging out 24°C (34.5%), amid a close race driven by model spread. This follows a cool late-April spell, with April 30 observations reaching only 17-18°C under sunny skies before southerly winds usher warmer moist air and partly cloudy conditions (30-40% precipitation chance). Uncertainty hinges on cloud cover limiting diurnal heating and exact boundary layer temperatures, potentially capping peaks 1°C apart; China Meteorological Administration guidance aligns near 25°C. Historical early-May highs average 23°C, but current upper-air patterns favor mild warmth. Watch final 12z model updates today for shifts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Shanghái el 1 de mayo?
¿La temperatura más alta en Shanghái el 1 de mayo?
25°C 39.4%
24°C 35%
26°C 13.6%
23°C 12%
NUEVO
$31,025 Vol.
NUEVO
$31,025 Vol.
1 may 2026
19°C o menos
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
2%
23°C
12%
24°C
35%
25°C
39%
26°C
14%
27°C
2%
28°C
1%
29°C o más
<1%
25°C 39.4%
24°C 35%
26°C 13.6%
23°C 12%
NUEVO
$31,025 Vol.
NUEVO
$31,025 Vol.
1 may 2026
19°C o menos
$2,291 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$1,669 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$2,381 Vol.
1%
22°C
$7,508 Vol.
2%
23°C
$3,949 Vol.
12%
24°C
$2,689 Vol.
35%
25°C
$1,872 Vol.
39%
26°C
$1,778 Vol.
14%
27°C
$3,525 Vol.
2%
28°C
$1,896 Vol.
1%
29°C o más
$2,575 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models project Shanghai's May 1 high temperature at 24-26°C, reflecting trader consensus with 25°C (39.5% implied probability) edging out 24°C (34.5%), amid a close race driven by model spread. This follows a cool late-April spell, with April 30 observations reaching only 17-18°C under sunny skies before southerly winds usher warmer moist air and partly cloudy conditions (30-40% precipitation chance). Uncertainty hinges on cloud cover limiting diurnal heating and exact boundary layer temperatures, potentially capping peaks 1°C apart; China Meteorological Administration guidance aligns near 25°C. Historical early-May highs average 23°C, but current upper-air patterns favor mild warmth. Watch final 12z model updates today for shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 29, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volumen
$31,025Fecha de finalización
1 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 29, 2026, 12:06 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models project Shanghai's May 1 high temperature at 24-26°C, reflecting trader consensus with 25°C (39.5% implied probability) edging out 24°C (34.5%), amid a close race driven by model spread. This follows a cool late-April spell, with April 30 observations reaching only 17-18°C under sunny skies before southerly winds usher warmer moist air and partly cloudy conditions (30-40% precipitation chance). Uncertainty hinges on cloud cover limiting diurnal heating and exact boundary layer temperatures, potentially capping peaks 1°C apart; China Meteorological Administration guidance aligns near 25°C. Historical early-May highs average 23°C, but current upper-air patterns favor mild warmth. Watch final 12z model updates today for shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$31,025Fecha de finalización
1 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 29, 2026, 12:06 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models project Shanghai's May 1 high temperature at 24-26°C, reflecting trader consensus with 25°C (39.5% implied probability) edging out 24°C (34.5%), amid a close race driven by model spread. This follows a cool late-April spell, with April 30 observations reaching only 17-18°C under sunny skies before southerly winds usher warmer moist air and partly cloudy conditions (30-40% precipitation chance). Uncertainty hinges on cloud cover limiting diurnal heating and exact boundary layer temperatures, potentially capping peaks 1°C apart; China Meteorological Administration guidance aligns near 25°C. Historical early-May highs average 23°C, but current upper-air patterns favor mild warmth. Watch final 12z model updates today for shifts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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