Persistent April 2026 heatwave conditions, with BMKG observations recording highs frequently exceeding 35°C at Halim Perdanakusuma International Airport and nearby stations like Ciputat (35.6°C earlier this week), have driven trader consensus toward 35°C as the leading outcome at 63% implied probability for Jakarta's highest temperature on May 1. This reflects the dry season onset, characterized by sinking air masses, reduced cloud cover, and urban heat island amplification in the densely built metropolis, pushing readings above the May climatological average of 32–33°C. BMKG forecast models indicate continued above-normal temperatures amid low precipitation risk, though exact peaks remain uncertain due to variable afternoon convection; monitor agency updates throughout the day for refined guidance ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Jakarta on May 1?
Highest temperature in Jakarta on May 1?
35°C 63%
34°C 22%
33°C 11%
32°C 3.9%
$23,764 Vol.
$23,764 Vol.
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
4%
33°C
11%
34°C
22%
35°C
63%
36°C
3%
37°C or higher
<1%
35°C 63%
34°C 22%
33°C 11%
32°C 3.9%
$23,764 Vol.
$23,764 Vol.
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
4%
33°C
11%
34°C
22%
35°C
63%
36°C
3%
37°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 29, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent April 2026 heatwave conditions, with BMKG observations recording highs frequently exceeding 35°C at Halim Perdanakusuma International Airport and nearby stations like Ciputat (35.6°C earlier this week), have driven trader consensus toward 35°C as the leading outcome at 63% implied probability for Jakarta's highest temperature on May 1. This reflects the dry season onset, characterized by sinking air masses, reduced cloud cover, and urban heat island amplification in the densely built metropolis, pushing readings above the May climatological average of 32–33°C. BMKG forecast models indicate continued above-normal temperatures amid low precipitation risk, though exact peaks remain uncertain due to variable afternoon convection; monitor agency updates throughout the day for refined guidance ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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