Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a highest temperature of 25°C (44.5% implied probability) for Wuhan on May 1, closely followed by 24°C (30%) and 26°C (22.5%), reflecting the latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models, which project daily maxima in the mid-20s Celsius amid stable high-pressure systems and typical early-May warming trends. Wuhan's climatology supports this, with average highs around 24°C at the month's start, rising to 27-28°C later, based on historical data from the China Meteorological Administration and NOAA analogs; recent April highs in the low-to-mid 20s have transitioned smoothly without anomalous heat or cold snaps. Inherent forecast uncertainty persists due to model spread and urban heat effects at Tianhe International Airport station, with final observational data resolving the market within 48 hours.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Wuhan on May 1?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on May 1?
25°C 45%
24°C 31%
26°C 22%
23°C 5%
NUEVO
$11,694 Vol.
NUEVO
$11,694 Vol.
1 may 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
2%
23°C
5%
24°C
31%
25°C
45%
26°C
22%
27°C
3%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C or higher
<1%
25°C 45%
24°C 31%
26°C 22%
23°C 5%
NUEVO
$11,694 Vol.
NUEVO
$11,694 Vol.
1 may 2026
20°C or below
$1,359 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$753 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$2,049 Vol.
2%
23°C
$394 Vol.
5%
24°C
$1,276 Vol.
31%
25°C
$1,387 Vol.
45%
26°C
$864 Vol.
22%
27°C
$965 Vol.
3%
28°C
$1,151 Vol.
1%
29°C
$847 Vol.
1%
30°C or higher
$881 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a highest temperature of 25°C (44.5% implied probability) for Wuhan on May 1, closely followed by 24°C (30%) and 26°C (22.5%), reflecting the latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models, which project daily maxima in the mid-20s Celsius amid stable high-pressure systems and typical early-May warming trends. Wuhan's climatology supports this, with average highs around 24°C at the month's start, rising to 27-28°C later, based on historical data from the China Meteorological Administration and NOAA analogs; recent April highs in the low-to-mid 20s have transitioned smoothly without anomalous heat or cold snaps. Inherent forecast uncertainty persists due to model spread and urban heat effects at Tianhe International Airport station, with final observational data resolving the market within 48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 29, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volumen
$11,694Fecha de finalización
1 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 29, 2026, 12:07 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a highest temperature of 25°C (44.5% implied probability) for Wuhan on May 1, closely followed by 24°C (30%) and 26°C (22.5%), reflecting the latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models, which project daily maxima in the mid-20s Celsius amid stable high-pressure systems and typical early-May warming trends. Wuhan's climatology supports this, with average highs around 24°C at the month's start, rising to 27-28°C later, based on historical data from the China Meteorological Administration and NOAA analogs; recent April highs in the low-to-mid 20s have transitioned smoothly without anomalous heat or cold snaps. Inherent forecast uncertainty persists due to model spread and urban heat effects at Tianhe International Airport station, with final observational data resolving the market within 48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$11,694Fecha de finalización
1 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 29, 2026, 12:07 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a highest temperature of 25°C (44.5% implied probability) for Wuhan on May 1, closely followed by 24°C (30%) and 26°C (22.5%), reflecting the latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models, which project daily maxima in the mid-20s Celsius amid stable high-pressure systems and typical early-May warming trends. Wuhan's climatology supports this, with average highs around 24°C at the month's start, rising to 27-28°C later, based on historical data from the China Meteorological Administration and NOAA analogs; recent April highs in the low-to-mid 20s have transitioned smoothly without anomalous heat or cold snaps. Inherent forecast uncertainty persists due to model spread and urban heat effects at Tianhe International Airport station, with final observational data resolving the market within 48 hours.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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