Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around 20–22°C for Shanghai's highest temperature on May 3, reflecting the latest China Meteorological Administration forecast of 20°C under overcast skies and northerly winds following light rain on May 2, which limit solar insolation and introduce post-frontal cooling. Global models like those powering timeanddate.com show slight spread up to 23°C, creating tight odds as persistent cloud cover favors 20–21°C while any clearing could nudge toward 22°C. Early May climatological highs average 23°C, but current synoptic patterns suppress warmth; new ensemble runs from GFS and ECMWF overnight and CMA updates tomorrow may refine probabilities amid typical short-range forecast uncertainty.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Shanghai on May 3?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on May 3?
22°C 34%
21°C 27%
23°C 17%
20°C 13%
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 may 2026
17°C or below
1%
18°C
2%
19°C
5%
20°C
13%
21°C
27%
22°C
34%
23°C
17%
24°C
5%
25°C
4%
26°C
1%
27°C or higher
1%
22°C 34%
21°C 27%
23°C 17%
20°C 13%
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 may 2026
17°C or below
$242 Vol.
1%
18°C
$163 Vol.
2%
19°C
$211 Vol.
5%
20°C
$475 Vol.
13%
21°C
$355 Vol.
27%
22°C
$290 Vol.
34%
23°C
$241 Vol.
17%
24°C
$98 Vol.
5%
25°C
$218 Vol.
4%
26°C
$273 Vol.
1%
27°C or higher
$194 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around 20–22°C for Shanghai's highest temperature on May 3, reflecting the latest China Meteorological Administration forecast of 20°C under overcast skies and northerly winds following light rain on May 2, which limit solar insolation and introduce post-frontal cooling. Global models like those powering timeanddate.com show slight spread up to 23°C, creating tight odds as persistent cloud cover favors 20–21°C while any clearing could nudge toward 22°C. Early May climatological highs average 23°C, but current synoptic patterns suppress warmth; new ensemble runs from GFS and ECMWF overnight and CMA updates tomorrow may refine probabilities amid typical short-range forecast uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 1, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Volumen
$2,747Fecha de finalización
3 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 1, 2026, 12:32 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around 20–22°C for Shanghai's highest temperature on May 3, reflecting the latest China Meteorological Administration forecast of 20°C under overcast skies and northerly winds following light rain on May 2, which limit solar insolation and introduce post-frontal cooling. Global models like those powering timeanddate.com show slight spread up to 23°C, creating tight odds as persistent cloud cover favors 20–21°C while any clearing could nudge toward 22°C. Early May climatological highs average 23°C, but current synoptic patterns suppress warmth; new ensemble runs from GFS and ECMWF overnight and CMA updates tomorrow may refine probabilities amid typical short-range forecast uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$2,747Fecha de finalización
3 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 1, 2026, 12:32 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around 20–22°C for Shanghai's highest temperature on May 3, reflecting the latest China Meteorological Administration forecast of 20°C under overcast skies and northerly winds following light rain on May 2, which limit solar insolation and introduce post-frontal cooling. Global models like those powering timeanddate.com show slight spread up to 23°C, creating tight odds as persistent cloud cover favors 20–21°C while any clearing could nudge toward 22°C. Early May climatological highs average 23°C, but current synoptic patterns suppress warmth; new ensemble runs from GFS and ECMWF overnight and CMA updates tomorrow may refine probabilities amid typical short-range forecast uncertainty.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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