Environment and Climate Change Canada's latest forecasts, updated May 1, project Toronto's May 4 high near 17°C under cloudy skies with 40% chance of showers, following a cool start to May with frosty nights and highs of 10°C on May 2 rising to 13°C on May 3. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 19–20°C (20.5% and 20.0% implied probabilities), driven by optimism in short-range model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF hinting at reduced cloud cover and stronger boundary-layer mixing for enhanced solar insolation. Differentiating factors include shower timing—early convection could cap peaks at 17–18°C via evaporative cooling, while afternoon breaks might push 20–21°C amid the warming trend. New ECCC updates Sunday will clarify model spread.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Toronto on May 4?
Highest temperature in Toronto on May 4?
19°C 37%
20°C 29%
18°C 14%
17°C 9%
NUEVO
NUEVO
4 may 2026
13°C or below
1%
14°C
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
5%
17°C
9%
18°C
14%
19°C
37%
20°C
29%
21°C
8%
22°C
4%
23°C or higher
1%
19°C 37%
20°C 29%
18°C 14%
17°C 9%
NUEVO
NUEVO
4 may 2026
13°C or below
$15 Vol.
1%
14°C
$125 Vol.
1%
15°C
$30 Vol.
1%
16°C
$250 Vol.
5%
17°C
$6 Vol.
9%
18°C
$19 Vol.
14%
19°C
$76 Vol.
37%
20°C
$15 Vol.
29%
21°C
$36 Vol.
8%
22°C
$0 Vol.
4%
23°C or higher
$30 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Environment and Climate Change Canada's latest forecasts, updated May 1, project Toronto's May 4 high near 17°C under cloudy skies with 40% chance of showers, following a cool start to May with frosty nights and highs of 10°C on May 2 rising to 13°C on May 3. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 19–20°C (20.5% and 20.0% implied probabilities), driven by optimism in short-range model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF hinting at reduced cloud cover and stronger boundary-layer mixing for enhanced solar insolation. Differentiating factors include shower timing—early convection could cap peaks at 17–18°C via evaporative cooling, while afternoon breaks might push 20–21°C amid the warming trend. New ECCC updates Sunday will clarify model spread.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 2, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
Volumen
$594Fecha de finalización
4 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 2, 2026, 12:09 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Environment and Climate Change Canada's latest forecasts, updated May 1, project Toronto's May 4 high near 17°C under cloudy skies with 40% chance of showers, following a cool start to May with frosty nights and highs of 10°C on May 2 rising to 13°C on May 3. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 19–20°C (20.5% and 20.0% implied probabilities), driven by optimism in short-range model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF hinting at reduced cloud cover and stronger boundary-layer mixing for enhanced solar insolation. Differentiating factors include shower timing—early convection could cap peaks at 17–18°C via evaporative cooling, while afternoon breaks might push 20–21°C amid the warming trend. New ECCC updates Sunday will clarify model spread.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$594Fecha de finalización
4 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 2, 2026, 12:09 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Environment and Climate Change Canada's latest forecasts, updated May 1, project Toronto's May 4 high near 17°C under cloudy skies with 40% chance of showers, following a cool start to May with frosty nights and highs of 10°C on May 2 rising to 13°C on May 3. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 19–20°C (20.5% and 20.0% implied probabilities), driven by optimism in short-range model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF hinting at reduced cloud cover and stronger boundary-layer mixing for enhanced solar insolation. Differentiating factors include shower timing—early convection could cap peaks at 17–18°C via evaporative cooling, while afternoon breaks might push 20–21°C amid the warming trend. New ECCC updates Sunday will clarify model spread.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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