Latest guidance from ECMWF and GFS ensemble models projects a daytime high of around 24°C for Tel Aviv on May 1, aligning with the market's leading 51% implied probability for that outcome and nearby odds for 23°C (19.5%) and 25°C (21.5%), reflecting typical spread in coastal temperature forecasts. This positioning stems from a strengthening high-pressure ridge over the eastern Mediterranean fostering mild conditions, tempered by persistent sea breezes that cap peaks near the climatological early-May average of 24°C at Ben Gurion Airport, the resolution site. Following April's above-average heat with highs exceeding 27°C, recent Israel Meteorological Service updates indicate stabilization with light winds and minimal cloud cover. Inherent uncertainty persists in microscale sea breeze effects and final hourly observations, with overnight model refreshes poised to sharpen trader consensus.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on May 1?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on May 1?
24°C 51%
25°C 22%
23°C 20%
22°C 5%
NUEVO
$12,600 Vol.
NUEVO
$12,600 Vol.
1 may 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
5%
23°C
20%
24°C
51%
25°C
22%
26°C
2%
27°C
1%
28°C or higher
1%
24°C 51%
25°C 22%
23°C 20%
22°C 5%
NUEVO
$12,600 Vol.
NUEVO
$12,600 Vol.
1 may 2026
18°C or below
$1,953 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$964 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$976 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$1,956 Vol.
1%
22°C
$1,568 Vol.
5%
23°C
$643 Vol.
20%
24°C
$1,088 Vol.
51%
25°C
$1,105 Vol.
22%
26°C
$1,237 Vol.
2%
27°C
$1,089 Vol.
1%
28°C or higher
$1,231 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest guidance from ECMWF and GFS ensemble models projects a daytime high of around 24°C for Tel Aviv on May 1, aligning with the market's leading 51% implied probability for that outcome and nearby odds for 23°C (19.5%) and 25°C (21.5%), reflecting typical spread in coastal temperature forecasts. This positioning stems from a strengthening high-pressure ridge over the eastern Mediterranean fostering mild conditions, tempered by persistent sea breezes that cap peaks near the climatological early-May average of 24°C at Ben Gurion Airport, the resolution site. Following April's above-average heat with highs exceeding 27°C, recent Israel Meteorological Service updates indicate stabilization with light winds and minimal cloud cover. Inherent uncertainty persists in microscale sea breeze effects and final hourly observations, with overnight model refreshes poised to sharpen trader consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 29, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volumen
$12,600Fecha de finalización
1 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 29, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest guidance from ECMWF and GFS ensemble models projects a daytime high of around 24°C for Tel Aviv on May 1, aligning with the market's leading 51% implied probability for that outcome and nearby odds for 23°C (19.5%) and 25°C (21.5%), reflecting typical spread in coastal temperature forecasts. This positioning stems from a strengthening high-pressure ridge over the eastern Mediterranean fostering mild conditions, tempered by persistent sea breezes that cap peaks near the climatological early-May average of 24°C at Ben Gurion Airport, the resolution site. Following April's above-average heat with highs exceeding 27°C, recent Israel Meteorological Service updates indicate stabilization with light winds and minimal cloud cover. Inherent uncertainty persists in microscale sea breeze effects and final hourly observations, with overnight model refreshes poised to sharpen trader consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$12,600Fecha de finalización
1 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 29, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest guidance from ECMWF and GFS ensemble models projects a daytime high of around 24°C for Tel Aviv on May 1, aligning with the market's leading 51% implied probability for that outcome and nearby odds for 23°C (19.5%) and 25°C (21.5%), reflecting typical spread in coastal temperature forecasts. This positioning stems from a strengthening high-pressure ridge over the eastern Mediterranean fostering mild conditions, tempered by persistent sea breezes that cap peaks near the climatological early-May average of 24°C at Ben Gurion Airport, the resolution site. Following April's above-average heat with highs exceeding 27°C, recent Israel Meteorological Service updates indicate stabilization with light winds and minimal cloud cover. Inherent uncertainty persists in microscale sea breeze effects and final hourly observations, with overnight model refreshes poised to sharpen trader consensus.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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