National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble models like GFS and ECMWF show strong agreement for Denver's highest temperature on May 3 exceeding 54°F, with projected highs of 63–72°F under a building high-pressure ridge over the Rockies, promoting sunny skies, light winds, and typical early-May warming after cooler conditions earlier in the week. Trader consensus at 98.9% implied probability reflects this model convergence from the latest 00Z and 12Z runs, aligning with historical averages around 65°F for the date and low risk of sub-50°F outliers. Realistic challenges include an unanticipated northerly cold front or persistent cloud cover from upstream moisture, though current guidance shows minimal support; watch NWS updates Sunday morning for any shifts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Denver on May 3?
Highest temperature in Denver on May 3?
54°F or higher 98.2%
52-53°F <1%
48-49°F <1%
40-41°F <1%
NUEVO
$13,228 Vol.
NUEVO
$13,228 Vol.
3 may 2026
35°F or below
<1%
36-37°F
<1%
38-39°F
<1%
40-41°F
<1%
42-43°F
<1%
44-45°F
<1%
46-47°F
<1%
48-49°F
<1%
50-51°F
<1%
52-53°F
1%
54°F or higher
98%
54°F or higher 98.2%
52-53°F <1%
48-49°F <1%
40-41°F <1%
NUEVO
$13,228 Vol.
NUEVO
$13,228 Vol.
3 may 2026
35°F or below
$682 Vol.
<1%
36-37°F
$682 Vol.
<1%
38-39°F
$682 Vol.
<1%
40-41°F
$672 Vol.
<1%
42-43°F
$1,112 Vol.
<1%
44-45°F
$672 Vol.
<1%
46-47°F
$672 Vol.
<1%
48-49°F
$692 Vol.
<1%
50-51°F
$673 Vol.
<1%
52-53°F
$1,028 Vol.
1%
54°F or higher
$5,661 Vol.
98%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble models like GFS and ECMWF show strong agreement for Denver's highest temperature on May 3 exceeding 54°F, with projected highs of 63–72°F under a building high-pressure ridge over the Rockies, promoting sunny skies, light winds, and typical early-May warming after cooler conditions earlier in the week. Trader consensus at 98.9% implied probability reflects this model convergence from the latest 00Z and 12Z runs, aligning with historical averages around 65°F for the date and low risk of sub-50°F outliers. Realistic challenges include an unanticipated northerly cold front or persistent cloud cover from upstream moisture, though current guidance shows minimal support; watch NWS updates Sunday morning for any shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 1, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Volumen
$13,228Fecha de finalización
3 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 1, 2026, 12:08 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble models like GFS and ECMWF show strong agreement for Denver's highest temperature on May 3 exceeding 54°F, with projected highs of 63–72°F under a building high-pressure ridge over the Rockies, promoting sunny skies, light winds, and typical early-May warming after cooler conditions earlier in the week. Trader consensus at 98.9% implied probability reflects this model convergence from the latest 00Z and 12Z runs, aligning with historical averages around 65°F for the date and low risk of sub-50°F outliers. Realistic challenges include an unanticipated northerly cold front or persistent cloud cover from upstream moisture, though current guidance shows minimal support; watch NWS updates Sunday morning for any shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$13,228Fecha de finalización
3 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 1, 2026, 12:08 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble models like GFS and ECMWF show strong agreement for Denver's highest temperature on May 3 exceeding 54°F, with projected highs of 63–72°F under a building high-pressure ridge over the Rockies, promoting sunny skies, light winds, and typical early-May warming after cooler conditions earlier in the week. Trader consensus at 98.9% implied probability reflects this model convergence from the latest 00Z and 12Z runs, aligning with historical averages around 65°F for the date and low risk of sub-50°F outliers. Realistic challenges include an unanticipated northerly cold front or persistent cloud cover from upstream moisture, though current guidance shows minimal support; watch NWS updates Sunday morning for any shifts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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