Latest MetService forecasts for Wellington indicate a maximum temperature of 15°C on May 1 under a dominant high pressure ridge delivering fine conditions and light northeasterlies, aligning with May climatological averages of 14–15°C at the official airport station. Trader consensus slightly favors 16°C (43.5% implied probability) over 15°C (34%) due to ensemble spread in global models like ECMWF and GFS, which show minor discrepancies in daytime heating from variable cloud breaks and coastal sea breeze influences. Key differentiators include insolation duration, overnight recovery from 9°C lows, and urban heat effects at measurement sites; inherent short-range forecast uncertainty keeps outcomes tightly matched ahead of hourly observational updates resolving the market.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Wellington on May 1?
Highest temperature in Wellington on May 1?
16°C 44%
15°C 34%
14°C 11%
17°C 11%
NUEVO
$23,186 Vol.
NUEVO
$23,186 Vol.
1 may 2026
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
11%
15°C
34%
16°C
44%
17°C
11%
18°C
2%
19°C or higher
<1%
16°C 44%
15°C 34%
14°C 11%
17°C 11%
NUEVO
$23,186 Vol.
NUEVO
$23,186 Vol.
1 may 2026
9°C or below
$1,280 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$302 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$657 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$2,963 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$3,287 Vol.
1%
14°C
$6,645 Vol.
11%
15°C
$2,370 Vol.
34%
16°C
$2,517 Vol.
44%
17°C
$2,076 Vol.
11%
18°C
$1,170 Vol.
2%
19°C or higher
$546 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest MetService forecasts for Wellington indicate a maximum temperature of 15°C on May 1 under a dominant high pressure ridge delivering fine conditions and light northeasterlies, aligning with May climatological averages of 14–15°C at the official airport station. Trader consensus slightly favors 16°C (43.5% implied probability) over 15°C (34%) due to ensemble spread in global models like ECMWF and GFS, which show minor discrepancies in daytime heating from variable cloud breaks and coastal sea breeze influences. Key differentiators include insolation duration, overnight recovery from 9°C lows, and urban heat effects at measurement sites; inherent short-range forecast uncertainty keeps outcomes tightly matched ahead of hourly observational updates resolving the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 29, 2026, 12:25 AM ET
Volumen
$23,186Fecha de finalización
1 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 29, 2026, 12:25 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest MetService forecasts for Wellington indicate a maximum temperature of 15°C on May 1 under a dominant high pressure ridge delivering fine conditions and light northeasterlies, aligning with May climatological averages of 14–15°C at the official airport station. Trader consensus slightly favors 16°C (43.5% implied probability) over 15°C (34%) due to ensemble spread in global models like ECMWF and GFS, which show minor discrepancies in daytime heating from variable cloud breaks and coastal sea breeze influences. Key differentiators include insolation duration, overnight recovery from 9°C lows, and urban heat effects at measurement sites; inherent short-range forecast uncertainty keeps outcomes tightly matched ahead of hourly observational updates resolving the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$23,186Fecha de finalización
1 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 29, 2026, 12:25 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest MetService forecasts for Wellington indicate a maximum temperature of 15°C on May 1 under a dominant high pressure ridge delivering fine conditions and light northeasterlies, aligning with May climatological averages of 14–15°C at the official airport station. Trader consensus slightly favors 16°C (43.5% implied probability) over 15°C (34%) due to ensemble spread in global models like ECMWF and GFS, which show minor discrepancies in daytime heating from variable cloud breaks and coastal sea breeze influences. Key differentiators include insolation duration, overnight recovery from 9°C lows, and urban heat effects at measurement sites; inherent short-range forecast uncertainty keeps outcomes tightly matched ahead of hourly observational updates resolving the market.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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