Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a 25°C high in Tel Aviv today, backed by official NOAA observations at Ben Gurion International Airport recording a midday peak of exactly 25°C amid partly cloudy skies and light winds. This aligns with updated Israel Meteorological Service guidance showing seasonal Mediterranean conditions—reduced coastal haze and stronger solar insolation than pre-dawn model runs anticipated—pushing beyond the initial 22°C forecast cap while staying within historical April norms of 22-25°C maxima. Finalized METAR archives confirm no further warming potential as evening cools set in, with revision risks negligible due to rigorous data validation protocols. Only an unprecedented measurement correction could challenge this, though such events occur under 1% historically.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 30?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 30?
25°C 100.0%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$60,639 Vol.
$60,639 Vol.
30 abr 2026
25°C
100%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
25°C 100.0%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$60,639 Vol.
$60,639 Vol.
30 abr 2026
25°C
$10,125 Vol.
100%
26°C
$7,806 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$5,923 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$3,902 Vol.
<1%
29°C or higher
$2,597 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a 25°C high in Tel Aviv today, backed by official NOAA observations at Ben Gurion International Airport recording a midday peak of exactly 25°C amid partly cloudy skies and light winds. This aligns with updated Israel Meteorological Service guidance showing seasonal Mediterranean conditions—reduced coastal haze and stronger solar insolation than pre-dawn model runs anticipated—pushing beyond the initial 22°C forecast cap while staying within historical April norms of 22-25°C maxima. Finalized METAR archives confirm no further warming potential as evening cools set in, with revision risks negligible due to rigorous data validation protocols. Only an unprecedented measurement correction could challenge this, though such events occur under 1% historically.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 28, 2026, 3:05 PM ET
Volumen
$60,639Fecha de finalización
30 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 28, 2026, 3:05 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a 25°C high in Tel Aviv today, backed by official NOAA observations at Ben Gurion International Airport recording a midday peak of exactly 25°C amid partly cloudy skies and light winds. This aligns with updated Israel Meteorological Service guidance showing seasonal Mediterranean conditions—reduced coastal haze and stronger solar insolation than pre-dawn model runs anticipated—pushing beyond the initial 22°C forecast cap while staying within historical April norms of 22-25°C maxima. Finalized METAR archives confirm no further warming potential as evening cools set in, with revision risks negligible due to rigorous data validation protocols. Only an unprecedented measurement correction could challenge this, though such events occur under 1% historically.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$60,639Fecha de finalización
30 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 28, 2026, 3:05 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a 25°C high in Tel Aviv today, backed by official NOAA observations at Ben Gurion International Airport recording a midday peak of exactly 25°C amid partly cloudy skies and light winds. This aligns with updated Israel Meteorological Service guidance showing seasonal Mediterranean conditions—reduced coastal haze and stronger solar insolation than pre-dawn model runs anticipated—pushing beyond the initial 22°C forecast cap while staying within historical April norms of 22-25°C maxima. Finalized METAR archives confirm no further warming potential as evening cools set in, with revision risks negligible due to rigorous data validation protocols. Only an unprecedented measurement correction could challenge this, though such events occur under 1% historically.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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