The Central Weather Bureau's latest forecast indicates a high of 25°C for Taipei on May 1 amid mostly cloudy skies and a 20% chance of light showers, anchoring market-implied odds at 37.5% for 25°C versus 33% for 24°C, reflecting close trader consensus on peak temperatures. A lingering weather front from April 30's persistent showers—yielding just 21°C—has suppressed highs below historical early-May averages of 27°C, with variable cloud cover limiting solar insolation as the key differentiator: denser overcast favors 24°C, while breaks could enable 25°C via urban heat at the resolving Songshan Airport station. Forecast model ensembles show tight spreads around 24–25°C; monitor hourly Central Weather Bureau updates for shifts ahead of observations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Taipei on May 1?
Highest temperature in Taipei on May 1?
25°C 33%
24°C 33%
23°C 18%
26°C 15%
NUEVO
$34,996 Vol.
NUEVO
$34,996 Vol.
1 may 2026
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
2%
23°C
18%
24°C
33%
25°C
33%
26°C
15%
27°C
3%
28°C or higher
2%
25°C 33%
24°C 33%
23°C 18%
26°C 15%
NUEVO
$34,996 Vol.
NUEVO
$34,996 Vol.
1 may 2026
19°C
$231 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$973 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$3,073 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$8,718 Vol.
2%
23°C
$4,002 Vol.
18%
24°C
$3,335 Vol.
33%
25°C
$3,230 Vol.
33%
26°C
$2,962 Vol.
15%
27°C
$2,761 Vol.
3%
28°C or higher
$5,352 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Central Weather Bureau's latest forecast indicates a high of 25°C for Taipei on May 1 amid mostly cloudy skies and a 20% chance of light showers, anchoring market-implied odds at 37.5% for 25°C versus 33% for 24°C, reflecting close trader consensus on peak temperatures. A lingering weather front from April 30's persistent showers—yielding just 21°C—has suppressed highs below historical early-May averages of 27°C, with variable cloud cover limiting solar insolation as the key differentiator: denser overcast favors 24°C, while breaks could enable 25°C via urban heat at the resolving Songshan Airport station. Forecast model ensembles show tight spreads around 24–25°C; monitor hourly Central Weather Bureau updates for shifts ahead of observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 29, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Volumen
$34,996Fecha de finalización
1 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 29, 2026, 12:32 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Central Weather Bureau's latest forecast indicates a high of 25°C for Taipei on May 1 amid mostly cloudy skies and a 20% chance of light showers, anchoring market-implied odds at 37.5% for 25°C versus 33% for 24°C, reflecting close trader consensus on peak temperatures. A lingering weather front from April 30's persistent showers—yielding just 21°C—has suppressed highs below historical early-May averages of 27°C, with variable cloud cover limiting solar insolation as the key differentiator: denser overcast favors 24°C, while breaks could enable 25°C via urban heat at the resolving Songshan Airport station. Forecast model ensembles show tight spreads around 24–25°C; monitor hourly Central Weather Bureau updates for shifts ahead of observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$34,996Fecha de finalización
1 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 29, 2026, 12:32 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Central Weather Bureau's latest forecast indicates a high of 25°C for Taipei on May 1 amid mostly cloudy skies and a 20% chance of light showers, anchoring market-implied odds at 37.5% for 25°C versus 33% for 24°C, reflecting close trader consensus on peak temperatures. A lingering weather front from April 30's persistent showers—yielding just 21°C—has suppressed highs below historical early-May averages of 27°C, with variable cloud cover limiting solar insolation as the key differentiator: denser overcast favors 24°C, while breaks could enable 25°C via urban heat at the resolving Songshan Airport station. Forecast model ensembles show tight spreads around 24–25°C; monitor hourly Central Weather Bureau updates for shifts ahead of observations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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