Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in Central Weather Administration (CWA) forecasts for Taipei's May 3 high temperature, projecting 23–32°C under partly cloudy skies with possible afternoon thundershowers at Songshan Airport station. Recent easing of northeasterly winds and rain since May 1 has allowed gradual warming from 20–25°C, favoring peaks in the low-to-mid 30s amid a high-pressure ridge, above early May climatological averages of 27–28°C. Differentiating factors include variable afternoon cloud cover and convective timing, which could cap peaks near 31°C or permit urban heat island amplification to 34–35°C if skies remain clearer; daily CWA updates and GFS/ECMWF model runs will sharpen guidance ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Taipei on May 3?
Highest temperature in Taipei on May 3?
32°C 24%
33°C 21%
31°C 18%
34°C 13%
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 may 2026
27°C or below
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
4%
31°C
18%
32°C
25%
33°C
21%
34°C
13%
35°C
12%
36°C
2%
37°C or higher
2%
32°C 24%
33°C 21%
31°C 18%
34°C 13%
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 may 2026
27°C or below
$75 Vol.
1%
28°C
$25 Vol.
1%
29°C
$35 Vol.
3%
30°C
$0 Vol.
4%
31°C
$6 Vol.
18%
32°C
$13 Vol.
25%
33°C
$7 Vol.
21%
34°C
$0 Vol.
13%
35°C
$0 Vol.
12%
36°C
$10 Vol.
2%
37°C or higher
$160 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in Central Weather Administration (CWA) forecasts for Taipei's May 3 high temperature, projecting 23–32°C under partly cloudy skies with possible afternoon thundershowers at Songshan Airport station. Recent easing of northeasterly winds and rain since May 1 has allowed gradual warming from 20–25°C, favoring peaks in the low-to-mid 30s amid a high-pressure ridge, above early May climatological averages of 27–28°C. Differentiating factors include variable afternoon cloud cover and convective timing, which could cap peaks near 31°C or permit urban heat island amplification to 34–35°C if skies remain clearer; daily CWA updates and GFS/ECMWF model runs will sharpen guidance ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 1, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Volumen
$331Fecha de finalización
3 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 1, 2026, 12:32 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in Central Weather Administration (CWA) forecasts for Taipei's May 3 high temperature, projecting 23–32°C under partly cloudy skies with possible afternoon thundershowers at Songshan Airport station. Recent easing of northeasterly winds and rain since May 1 has allowed gradual warming from 20–25°C, favoring peaks in the low-to-mid 30s amid a high-pressure ridge, above early May climatological averages of 27–28°C. Differentiating factors include variable afternoon cloud cover and convective timing, which could cap peaks near 31°C or permit urban heat island amplification to 34–35°C if skies remain clearer; daily CWA updates and GFS/ECMWF model runs will sharpen guidance ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$331Fecha de finalización
3 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 1, 2026, 12:32 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in Central Weather Administration (CWA) forecasts for Taipei's May 3 high temperature, projecting 23–32°C under partly cloudy skies with possible afternoon thundershowers at Songshan Airport station. Recent easing of northeasterly winds and rain since May 1 has allowed gradual warming from 20–25°C, favoring peaks in the low-to-mid 30s amid a high-pressure ridge, above early May climatological averages of 27–28°C. Differentiating factors include variable afternoon cloud cover and convective timing, which could cap peaks near 31°C or permit urban heat island amplification to 34–35°C if skies remain clearer; daily CWA updates and GFS/ECMWF model runs will sharpen guidance ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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