The Central Weather Administration's latest forecast pins Taipei's May 1 high at 25°C under mostly cloudy conditions with a 20% chance of showers, driving trader consensus toward 25°C (37.5% implied probability) and 24°C (33%), as persistent cloud cover limits solar insolation and daytime heating compared to historical early-May averages of 27–28°C. Ensemble model runs from ECMWF and GFS show a tight spread of 24–26°C, with differentiation hinging on cloud thickness and any afternoon shower development, which could shave 1°C off peaks; recent days' highs in the low 20s°C amid similar moisture reflect this suppression from a lingering frontal system. Updated advisories expected midday May 1 could refine odds before resolution at Taipei Songshan Airport Station.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Taipei on May 1?
Highest temperature in Taipei on May 1?
25°C 37%
24°C 33%
23°C 18%
26°C 14%
NUEVO
$33,816 Vol.
NUEVO
$33,816 Vol.
1 may 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
18%
24°C
33%
25°C
37%
26°C
14%
27°C
2%
28°C or higher
1%
25°C 37%
24°C 33%
23°C 18%
26°C 14%
NUEVO
$33,816 Vol.
NUEVO
$33,816 Vol.
1 may 2026
18°C or below
$360 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$231 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$973 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$3,073 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$8,718 Vol.
1%
23°C
$3,962 Vol.
18%
24°C
$3,330 Vol.
33%
25°C
$3,017 Vol.
37%
26°C
$2,940 Vol.
14%
27°C
$2,572 Vol.
2%
28°C or higher
$5,084 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Central Weather Administration's latest forecast pins Taipei's May 1 high at 25°C under mostly cloudy conditions with a 20% chance of showers, driving trader consensus toward 25°C (37.5% implied probability) and 24°C (33%), as persistent cloud cover limits solar insolation and daytime heating compared to historical early-May averages of 27–28°C. Ensemble model runs from ECMWF and GFS show a tight spread of 24–26°C, with differentiation hinging on cloud thickness and any afternoon shower development, which could shave 1°C off peaks; recent days' highs in the low 20s°C amid similar moisture reflect this suppression from a lingering frontal system. Updated advisories expected midday May 1 could refine odds before resolution at Taipei Songshan Airport Station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 29, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Volumen
$33,816Fecha de finalización
1 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 29, 2026, 12:32 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Central Weather Administration's latest forecast pins Taipei's May 1 high at 25°C under mostly cloudy conditions with a 20% chance of showers, driving trader consensus toward 25°C (37.5% implied probability) and 24°C (33%), as persistent cloud cover limits solar insolation and daytime heating compared to historical early-May averages of 27–28°C. Ensemble model runs from ECMWF and GFS show a tight spread of 24–26°C, with differentiation hinging on cloud thickness and any afternoon shower development, which could shave 1°C off peaks; recent days' highs in the low 20s°C amid similar moisture reflect this suppression from a lingering frontal system. Updated advisories expected midday May 1 could refine odds before resolution at Taipei Songshan Airport Station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$33,816Fecha de finalización
1 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 29, 2026, 12:32 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Central Weather Administration's latest forecast pins Taipei's May 1 high at 25°C under mostly cloudy conditions with a 20% chance of showers, driving trader consensus toward 25°C (37.5% implied probability) and 24°C (33%), as persistent cloud cover limits solar insolation and daytime heating compared to historical early-May averages of 27–28°C. Ensemble model runs from ECMWF and GFS show a tight spread of 24–26°C, with differentiation hinging on cloud thickness and any afternoon shower development, which could shave 1°C off peaks; recent days' highs in the low 20s°C amid similar moisture reflect this suppression from a lingering frontal system. Updated advisories expected midday May 1 could refine odds before resolution at Taipei Songshan Airport Station.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes