Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 28°C (29.5%), 29°C (35%), and 30°C (27%) for São Paulo's highest temperature on May 2, mirroring inherent uncertainty in short-range numerical weather prediction models just two days out. Latest guidance from Brazil's National Institute of Meteorology (INMET) and global ensembles like GFS and ECMWF projects highs in this narrow 28-30°C band under a persistent upper-level ridge fostering subsidence, dry air, and mostly sunny conditions—above the early May climatological average of 23°C. Differentiating factors include subtle model spreads on sea breeze timing, which could enhance coastal cooling for 28°C outcomes, versus delayed onshore flow allowing 30°C peaks amid low humidity. Watch INMET's daily update for potential refinements from new observational data.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más alta en Sao Paulo el 2 de mayo?
¿Temperatura más alta en Sao Paulo el 2 de mayo?
29 °C 36%
28°C 29%
30°C 29%
27°C 7.2%
NUEVO
NUEVO
2 may 2026
23°C o menos
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
3%
27°C
7%
28°C
29%
29 °C
36%
30°C
29%
31°C
3%
32°C
2%
33°C o más
1%
29 °C 36%
28°C 29%
30°C 29%
27°C 7.2%
NUEVO
NUEVO
2 may 2026
23°C o menos
$738 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$293 Vol.
1%
25°C
$332 Vol.
1%
26°C
$929 Vol.
3%
27°C
$55 Vol.
7%
28°C
$1,004 Vol.
29%
29 °C
$784 Vol.
36%
30°C
$122 Vol.
29%
31°C
$190 Vol.
3%
32°C
$166 Vol.
2%
33°C o más
$356 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 28°C (29.5%), 29°C (35%), and 30°C (27%) for São Paulo's highest temperature on May 2, mirroring inherent uncertainty in short-range numerical weather prediction models just two days out. Latest guidance from Brazil's National Institute of Meteorology (INMET) and global ensembles like GFS and ECMWF projects highs in this narrow 28-30°C band under a persistent upper-level ridge fostering subsidence, dry air, and mostly sunny conditions—above the early May climatological average of 23°C. Differentiating factors include subtle model spreads on sea breeze timing, which could enhance coastal cooling for 28°C outcomes, versus delayed onshore flow allowing 30°C peaks amid low humidity. Watch INMET's daily update for potential refinements from new observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 30, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volumen
$4,888Fecha de finalización
2 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 30, 2026, 12:06 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 28°C (29.5%), 29°C (35%), and 30°C (27%) for São Paulo's highest temperature on May 2, mirroring inherent uncertainty in short-range numerical weather prediction models just two days out. Latest guidance from Brazil's National Institute of Meteorology (INMET) and global ensembles like GFS and ECMWF projects highs in this narrow 28-30°C band under a persistent upper-level ridge fostering subsidence, dry air, and mostly sunny conditions—above the early May climatological average of 23°C. Differentiating factors include subtle model spreads on sea breeze timing, which could enhance coastal cooling for 28°C outcomes, versus delayed onshore flow allowing 30°C peaks amid low humidity. Watch INMET's daily update for potential refinements from new observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$4,888Fecha de finalización
2 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 30, 2026, 12:06 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 28°C (29.5%), 29°C (35%), and 30°C (27%) for São Paulo's highest temperature on May 2, mirroring inherent uncertainty in short-range numerical weather prediction models just two days out. Latest guidance from Brazil's National Institute of Meteorology (INMET) and global ensembles like GFS and ECMWF projects highs in this narrow 28-30°C band under a persistent upper-level ridge fostering subsidence, dry air, and mostly sunny conditions—above the early May climatological average of 23°C. Differentiating factors include subtle model spreads on sea breeze timing, which could enhance coastal cooling for 28°C outcomes, versus delayed onshore flow allowing 30°C peaks amid low humidity. Watch INMET's daily update for potential refinements from new observational data.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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