Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a tight race among 21°C (20.5%), 22°C (21.0%), and 23°C (21.0%) for Qingdao's highest temperature on May 4, reflecting ensemble forecast models' narrow spread around 22°C amid early May's climatological norms of 18-22°C daily highs. This positioning stems from recent cooling after warmer late April conditions, with coastal moderation from the Yellow Sea's 13-15°C waters capping peaks via sea breezes, while southerly winds could boost advection of warmer air. Uncertainty differentiates outcomes: variable cloud cover and diurnally varying insolation, per China Meteorological Administration guidance, leave ±1-2°C room for divergence. Watch CMA's next 12-hour forecast update for refined guidance ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Qingdao el 4 de mayo?
¿La temperatura más alta en Qingdao el 4 de mayo?
22°C 24%
23°C 24%
24°C 20%
25°C 17%
NUEVO
NUEVO
4 may 2026
19°C o menos
1%
20°C
4%
21°C
14%
22°C
24%
23°C
24%
24°C
20%
25°C
17%
26°C
5%
27°C
5%
28°C
2%
29°C o más
1%
22°C 24%
23°C 24%
24°C 20%
25°C 17%
NUEVO
NUEVO
4 may 2026
19°C o menos
$34 Vol.
1%
20°C
$10 Vol.
4%
21°C
$0 Vol.
14%
22°C
$0 Vol.
24%
23°C
$0 Vol.
24%
24°C
$0 Vol.
20%
25°C
$0 Vol.
17%
26°C
$0 Vol.
5%
27°C
$0 Vol.
5%
28°C
$6 Vol.
2%
29°C o más
$11 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a tight race among 21°C (20.5%), 22°C (21.0%), and 23°C (21.0%) for Qingdao's highest temperature on May 4, reflecting ensemble forecast models' narrow spread around 22°C amid early May's climatological norms of 18-22°C daily highs. This positioning stems from recent cooling after warmer late April conditions, with coastal moderation from the Yellow Sea's 13-15°C waters capping peaks via sea breezes, while southerly winds could boost advection of warmer air. Uncertainty differentiates outcomes: variable cloud cover and diurnally varying insolation, per China Meteorological Administration guidance, leave ±1-2°C room for divergence. Watch CMA's next 12-hour forecast update for refined guidance ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 2, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
Volumen
$61Fecha de finalización
4 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 2, 2026, 12:09 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a tight race among 21°C (20.5%), 22°C (21.0%), and 23°C (21.0%) for Qingdao's highest temperature on May 4, reflecting ensemble forecast models' narrow spread around 22°C amid early May's climatological norms of 18-22°C daily highs. This positioning stems from recent cooling after warmer late April conditions, with coastal moderation from the Yellow Sea's 13-15°C waters capping peaks via sea breezes, while southerly winds could boost advection of warmer air. Uncertainty differentiates outcomes: variable cloud cover and diurnally varying insolation, per China Meteorological Administration guidance, leave ±1-2°C room for divergence. Watch CMA's next 12-hour forecast update for refined guidance ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$61Fecha de finalización
4 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 2, 2026, 12:09 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a tight race among 21°C (20.5%), 22°C (21.0%), and 23°C (21.0%) for Qingdao's highest temperature on May 4, reflecting ensemble forecast models' narrow spread around 22°C amid early May's climatological norms of 18-22°C daily highs. This positioning stems from recent cooling after warmer late April conditions, with coastal moderation from the Yellow Sea's 13-15°C waters capping peaks via sea breezes, while southerly winds could boost advection of warmer air. Uncertainty differentiates outcomes: variable cloud cover and diurnally varying insolation, per China Meteorological Administration guidance, leave ±1-2°C room for divergence. Watch CMA's next 12-hour forecast update for refined guidance ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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