Trader sentiment on Qingdao's May 2 highest temperature tightly clusters around 21°C (29.5%) and 22°C (28.5%), driven by divergent short-range forecast models like ECMWF and GFS following a warm late-April spell with highs near 23°C. Recent China Meteorological Administration updates indicate a cooling trend from thickening clouds and breezy southerlies, capping peaks amid variable solar insolation on this coastal site, where sea breezes often moderate extremes. Climatological early-May highs average 18-20°C, but model ensembles show 1-2°C spreads due to uncertain stratocumulus timing and wind mixing. Key differentiator: lighter winds favoring 22°C versus stronger onshore flow for 21°C. Watch CMA's next 24-hour guidance and ECMWF 00Z run for resolution shifts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Qingdao on May 2?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on May 2?
21°C 35%
22°C 28%
23°C 19%
19°C 15%
18°C or below
7%
19°C
15%
20°C
12%
21°C
30%
22°C
28%
23°C
19%
24°C
4%
25°C
4%
26°C
4%
27°C
2%
28°C or higher
1%
21°C 35%
22°C 28%
23°C 19%
19°C 15%
18°C or below
7%
19°C
15%
20°C
12%
21°C
30%
22°C
28%
23°C
19%
24°C
4%
25°C
4%
26°C
4%
27°C
2%
28°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 30, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment on Qingdao's May 2 highest temperature tightly clusters around 21°C (29.5%) and 22°C (28.5%), driven by divergent short-range forecast models like ECMWF and GFS following a warm late-April spell with highs near 23°C. Recent China Meteorological Administration updates indicate a cooling trend from thickening clouds and breezy southerlies, capping peaks amid variable solar insolation on this coastal site, where sea breezes often moderate extremes. Climatological early-May highs average 18-20°C, but model ensembles show 1-2°C spreads due to uncertain stratocumulus timing and wind mixing. Key differentiator: lighter winds favoring 22°C versus stronger onshore flow for 21°C. Watch CMA's next 24-hour guidance and ECMWF 00Z run for resolution shifts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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