Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward a high of 62-63°F (28% implied probability) for New York City on May 7, with nearby bins at 60-61°F (23.5%) and 64-65°F (20%) reflecting tight uncertainty in National Weather Service short-range guidance and ensemble model outputs from GFS and ECMWF. Latest 12z runs project peaks in the low-to-mid 60s°F amid a lingering cool upper-level trough fostering partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and limited boundary-layer mixing, capping daytime heating below climatological early-May averages of ~64°F at Central Park Observatory. Differentiating factors include cloud cover variability—thicker stratus could suppress to 60-61°F, while breaks might boost to 66-67°F—and subtle frontal timing discrepancies across models. Watch evening 00z updates and NWS advisories for refined probabilities ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in NYC on May 7?
Highest temperature in NYC on May 7?
64-65°F 33%
62-63°F 32%
66-67°F 16%
60-61°F 12%
NUEVO
$16,114 Vol.
NUEVO
$16,114 Vol.
7 may 2026
55°F or below
1%
56-57°F
1%
58-59°F
1%
60-61°F
12%
62-63°F
32%
64-65°F
33%
66-67°F
16%
68-69°F
5%
70-71°F
2%
72-73°F
<1%
74°F or higher
<1%
64-65°F 33%
62-63°F 32%
66-67°F 16%
60-61°F 12%
NUEVO
$16,114 Vol.
NUEVO
$16,114 Vol.
7 may 2026
55°F or below
$2,509 Vol.
1%
56-57°F
$544 Vol.
1%
58-59°F
$1,531 Vol.
1%
60-61°F
$1,492 Vol.
12%
62-63°F
$974 Vol.
32%
64-65°F
$1,071 Vol.
33%
66-67°F
$1,546 Vol.
16%
68-69°F
$1,190 Vol.
5%
70-71°F
$1,290 Vol.
2%
72-73°F
$2,361 Vol.
<1%
74°F or higher
$1,657 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward a high of 62-63°F (28% implied probability) for New York City on May 7, with nearby bins at 60-61°F (23.5%) and 64-65°F (20%) reflecting tight uncertainty in National Weather Service short-range guidance and ensemble model outputs from GFS and ECMWF. Latest 12z runs project peaks in the low-to-mid 60s°F amid a lingering cool upper-level trough fostering partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and limited boundary-layer mixing, capping daytime heating below climatological early-May averages of ~64°F at Central Park Observatory. Differentiating factors include cloud cover variability—thicker stratus could suppress to 60-61°F, while breaks might boost to 66-67°F—and subtle frontal timing discrepancies across models. Watch evening 00z updates and NWS advisories for refined probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 5, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volumen
$16,114Fecha de finalización
7 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 5, 2026, 12:06 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward a high of 62-63°F (28% implied probability) for New York City on May 7, with nearby bins at 60-61°F (23.5%) and 64-65°F (20%) reflecting tight uncertainty in National Weather Service short-range guidance and ensemble model outputs from GFS and ECMWF. Latest 12z runs project peaks in the low-to-mid 60s°F amid a lingering cool upper-level trough fostering partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and limited boundary-layer mixing, capping daytime heating below climatological early-May averages of ~64°F at Central Park Observatory. Differentiating factors include cloud cover variability—thicker stratus could suppress to 60-61°F, while breaks might boost to 66-67°F—and subtle frontal timing discrepancies across models. Watch evening 00z updates and NWS advisories for refined probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$16,114Fecha de finalización
7 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 5, 2026, 12:06 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward a high of 62-63°F (28% implied probability) for New York City on May 7, with nearby bins at 60-61°F (23.5%) and 64-65°F (20%) reflecting tight uncertainty in National Weather Service short-range guidance and ensemble model outputs from GFS and ECMWF. Latest 12z runs project peaks in the low-to-mid 60s°F amid a lingering cool upper-level trough fostering partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and limited boundary-layer mixing, capping daytime heating below climatological early-May averages of ~64°F at Central Park Observatory. Differentiating factors include cloud cover variability—thicker stratus could suppress to 60-61°F, while breaks might boost to 66-67°F—and subtle frontal timing discrepancies across models. Watch evening 00z updates and NWS advisories for refined probabilities ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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