Trader consensus on Polymarket, with 60-61°F (33.5%) edging 58-59°F (31.5%), mirrors the tight spread in latest National Weather Service guidance and GFS/ECMWF ensembles projecting New York City's LaGuardia Airport high near 60-65°F on May 2—below the early May climatological normal of 64°F. A persistent cool upper-level trough over the Northeast has ushered cooler mid-level air via a recent frontal boundary, while light northwest winds and a 30% chance of overnight showers into partly cloudy skies limit diurnal heating and introduce uncertainty. LaGuardia's coastal exposure often yields 1-3°F cooler readings than Central Park; model biases show ECMWF leaning cooler amid potential lingering clouds, versus GFS slight warm tilt if skies clear early. Watch evening 00Z model runs and morning NWS updates for shifts ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Nueva York el 2 de mayo?
¿La temperatura más alta en Nueva York el 2 de mayo?
60-61°F 35%
58-59°F 32%
62-63°F 17.7%
56-57°F 8%
NUEVO
$18,599 Vol.
NUEVO
$18,599 Vol.
2 may 2026
51°F o menos
<1%
52-53°F
<1%
54-55°F
2%
56-57°F
8%
58-59°F
32%
60-61°F
35%
62-63°F
18%
64-65°F
4%
66-67°F
1%
68-69°F
1%
70°F o más
<1%
60-61°F 35%
58-59°F 32%
62-63°F 17.7%
56-57°F 8%
NUEVO
$18,599 Vol.
NUEVO
$18,599 Vol.
2 may 2026
51°F o menos
$4,661 Vol.
<1%
52-53°F
$3,299 Vol.
<1%
54-55°F
$1,182 Vol.
2%
56-57°F
$857 Vol.
8%
58-59°F
$1,111 Vol.
32%
60-61°F
$1,175 Vol.
35%
62-63°F
$738 Vol.
18%
64-65°F
$660 Vol.
4%
66-67°F
$2,547 Vol.
1%
68-69°F
$1,165 Vol.
1%
70°F o más
$1,222 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket, with 60-61°F (33.5%) edging 58-59°F (31.5%), mirrors the tight spread in latest National Weather Service guidance and GFS/ECMWF ensembles projecting New York City's LaGuardia Airport high near 60-65°F on May 2—below the early May climatological normal of 64°F. A persistent cool upper-level trough over the Northeast has ushered cooler mid-level air via a recent frontal boundary, while light northwest winds and a 30% chance of overnight showers into partly cloudy skies limit diurnal heating and introduce uncertainty. LaGuardia's coastal exposure often yields 1-3°F cooler readings than Central Park; model biases show ECMWF leaning cooler amid potential lingering clouds, versus GFS slight warm tilt if skies clear early. Watch evening 00Z model runs and morning NWS updates for shifts ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volumen
$18,599Fecha de finalización
2 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket, with 60-61°F (33.5%) edging 58-59°F (31.5%), mirrors the tight spread in latest National Weather Service guidance and GFS/ECMWF ensembles projecting New York City's LaGuardia Airport high near 60-65°F on May 2—below the early May climatological normal of 64°F. A persistent cool upper-level trough over the Northeast has ushered cooler mid-level air via a recent frontal boundary, while light northwest winds and a 30% chance of overnight showers into partly cloudy skies limit diurnal heating and introduce uncertainty. LaGuardia's coastal exposure often yields 1-3°F cooler readings than Central Park; model biases show ECMWF leaning cooler amid potential lingering clouds, versus GFS slight warm tilt if skies clear early. Watch evening 00Z model runs and morning NWS updates for shifts ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$18,599Fecha de finalización
2 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket, with 60-61°F (33.5%) edging 58-59°F (31.5%), mirrors the tight spread in latest National Weather Service guidance and GFS/ECMWF ensembles projecting New York City's LaGuardia Airport high near 60-65°F on May 2—below the early May climatological normal of 64°F. A persistent cool upper-level trough over the Northeast has ushered cooler mid-level air via a recent frontal boundary, while light northwest winds and a 30% chance of overnight showers into partly cloudy skies limit diurnal heating and introduce uncertainty. LaGuardia's coastal exposure often yields 1-3°F cooler readings than Central Park; model biases show ECMWF leaning cooler amid potential lingering clouds, versus GFS slight warm tilt if skies clear early. Watch evening 00Z model runs and morning NWS updates for shifts ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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