Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a May 1 high of 27°C (38% implied probability) in Shenzhen, with 26°C (25%) and 28°C (23%) close behind, reflecting short-range forecast models converging on 26-28°C amid post-rain recovery. Recent heavy rainfall and convective activity from cold-warm air convergence through April 28-30 capped highs near 26°C, as observed at Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport; April 30's sunny conditions with light northeast winds set up slight warming under persistent cloud cover on May 1, per China Meteorological Administration-linked guidance and international models like yr.no. Early May climatology supports 27°C averages in this humid subtropical regime, though 1-2°C uncertainty persists ahead of hourly airport observations resolving the market.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Shenzhen on May 1?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on May 1?
27°C 40%
26°C 26%
28°C 22%
29°C 12%
NUEVO
$11,511 Vol.
NUEVO
$11,511 Vol.
1 may 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
5%
26°C
26%
27°C
40%
28°C
22%
29°C
12%
30°C or higher
3%
27°C 40%
26°C 26%
28°C 22%
29°C 12%
NUEVO
$11,511 Vol.
NUEVO
$11,511 Vol.
1 may 2026
20°C or below
$187 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$58 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$800 Vol.
1%
23°C
$2,003 Vol.
1%
24°C
$1,923 Vol.
1%
25°C
$721 Vol.
5%
26°C
$843 Vol.
26%
27°C
$757 Vol.
40%
28°C
$1,888 Vol.
22%
29°C
$1,055 Vol.
12%
30°C or higher
$1,306 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a May 1 high of 27°C (38% implied probability) in Shenzhen, with 26°C (25%) and 28°C (23%) close behind, reflecting short-range forecast models converging on 26-28°C amid post-rain recovery. Recent heavy rainfall and convective activity from cold-warm air convergence through April 28-30 capped highs near 26°C, as observed at Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport; April 30's sunny conditions with light northeast winds set up slight warming under persistent cloud cover on May 1, per China Meteorological Administration-linked guidance and international models like yr.no. Early May climatology supports 27°C averages in this humid subtropical regime, though 1-2°C uncertainty persists ahead of hourly airport observations resolving the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 29, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volumen
$11,511Fecha de finalización
1 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 29, 2026, 12:07 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a May 1 high of 27°C (38% implied probability) in Shenzhen, with 26°C (25%) and 28°C (23%) close behind, reflecting short-range forecast models converging on 26-28°C amid post-rain recovery. Recent heavy rainfall and convective activity from cold-warm air convergence through April 28-30 capped highs near 26°C, as observed at Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport; April 30's sunny conditions with light northeast winds set up slight warming under persistent cloud cover on May 1, per China Meteorological Administration-linked guidance and international models like yr.no. Early May climatology supports 27°C averages in this humid subtropical regime, though 1-2°C uncertainty persists ahead of hourly airport observations resolving the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$11,511Fecha de finalización
1 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 29, 2026, 12:07 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a May 1 high of 27°C (38% implied probability) in Shenzhen, with 26°C (25%) and 28°C (23%) close behind, reflecting short-range forecast models converging on 26-28°C amid post-rain recovery. Recent heavy rainfall and convective activity from cold-warm air convergence through April 28-30 capped highs near 26°C, as observed at Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport; April 30's sunny conditions with light northeast winds set up slight warming under persistent cloud cover on May 1, per China Meteorological Administration-linked guidance and international models like yr.no. Early May climatology supports 27°C averages in this humid subtropical regime, though 1-2°C uncertainty persists ahead of hourly airport observations resolving the market.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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