Trader consensus favors 25°C (31.5% implied probability) as Munich's peak temperature on May 2, closely trailed by 24°C and 26°C or higher, mirroring the spread in latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) and ECMWF ensemble forecasts projecting daytime highs of 24-26°C—well above the early May climatological average of 18°C at Munich Airport station. A persistent upper-level ridge is steering warm, dry continental air masses southward, combined with expected sunny skies and light southerly winds that enhance surface heating via efficient boundary layer mixing. Tight odds reflect genuine uncertainty from model divergences on afternoon cloud development or shear, potentially trimming peaks to 24°C or boosting them past 26°C; watch DWD's next advisory and 12Z ECMWF/GFS runs for refinements before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Munich on May 2?
Highest temperature in Munich on May 2?
25°C 32%
26°C or higher 25.7%
24°C 26%
23°C 12%
NUEVO
$15,750 Vol.
NUEVO
$15,750 Vol.
2 may 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
5%
23°C
12%
24°C
26%
25°C
32%
26°C or higher
26%
25°C 32%
26°C or higher 25.7%
24°C 26%
23°C 12%
NUEVO
$15,750 Vol.
NUEVO
$15,750 Vol.
2 may 2026
16°C or below
$658 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$949 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$1,753 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$2,141 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$1,812 Vol.
1%
21°C
$2,172 Vol.
1%
22°C
$1,814 Vol.
5%
23°C
$1,407 Vol.
12%
24°C
$1,004 Vol.
26%
25°C
$1,070 Vol.
32%
26°C or higher
$971 Vol.
26%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus favors 25°C (31.5% implied probability) as Munich's peak temperature on May 2, closely trailed by 24°C and 26°C or higher, mirroring the spread in latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) and ECMWF ensemble forecasts projecting daytime highs of 24-26°C—well above the early May climatological average of 18°C at Munich Airport station. A persistent upper-level ridge is steering warm, dry continental air masses southward, combined with expected sunny skies and light southerly winds that enhance surface heating via efficient boundary layer mixing. Tight odds reflect genuine uncertainty from model divergences on afternoon cloud development or shear, potentially trimming peaks to 24°C or boosting them past 26°C; watch DWD's next advisory and 12Z ECMWF/GFS runs for refinements before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volumen
$15,750Fecha de finalización
2 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus favors 25°C (31.5% implied probability) as Munich's peak temperature on May 2, closely trailed by 24°C and 26°C or higher, mirroring the spread in latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) and ECMWF ensemble forecasts projecting daytime highs of 24-26°C—well above the early May climatological average of 18°C at Munich Airport station. A persistent upper-level ridge is steering warm, dry continental air masses southward, combined with expected sunny skies and light southerly winds that enhance surface heating via efficient boundary layer mixing. Tight odds reflect genuine uncertainty from model divergences on afternoon cloud development or shear, potentially trimming peaks to 24°C or boosting them past 26°C; watch DWD's next advisory and 12Z ECMWF/GFS runs for refinements before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$15,750Fecha de finalización
2 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors 25°C (31.5% implied probability) as Munich's peak temperature on May 2, closely trailed by 24°C and 26°C or higher, mirroring the spread in latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) and ECMWF ensemble forecasts projecting daytime highs of 24-26°C—well above the early May climatological average of 18°C at Munich Airport station. A persistent upper-level ridge is steering warm, dry continental air masses southward, combined with expected sunny skies and light southerly winds that enhance surface heating via efficient boundary layer mixing. Tight odds reflect genuine uncertainty from model divergences on afternoon cloud development or shear, potentially trimming peaks to 24°C or boosting them past 26°C; watch DWD's next advisory and 12Z ECMWF/GFS runs for refinements before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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