National Weather Service forecasts position 88-89°F as the leading outcome for Miami's highest temperature on May 1, with trader-implied probabilities reflecting model consensus for sunny conditions and highs near 89°F at Miami International Airport. A dominant subtropical ridge overhead promotes light southerly winds, ample insulation from clear skies, and minimal sea breeze disruption, pushing readings above the 85°F climatological normal amid warm sea surface temperatures exceeding 82°F. Recent 00Z GFS and ECMWF runs, issued overnight, strengthened this signal with low precipitation odds under 10%, following April 29's observed high of 86°F in dry air. Uncertainty lingers in peak afternoon heating, with updates expected in today's NWS discussions resolving near term.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Miami el 1 de mayo?
¿La temperatura más alta en Miami el 1 de mayo?
88-89°F 48%
90-91°F 35.4%
86-87°F 11%
92-93°F 4.3%
$29,035 Vol.
$29,035 Vol.
77°F o menos
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
11%
88-89°F
48%
90-91°F
35%
92-93°F
4%
94-95°F
1%
96°F o más
1%
88-89°F 48%
90-91°F 35.4%
86-87°F 11%
92-93°F 4.3%
$29,035 Vol.
$29,035 Vol.
77°F o menos
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
11%
88-89°F
48%
90-91°F
35%
92-93°F
4%
94-95°F
1%
96°F o más
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 29, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts position 88-89°F as the leading outcome for Miami's highest temperature on May 1, with trader-implied probabilities reflecting model consensus for sunny conditions and highs near 89°F at Miami International Airport. A dominant subtropical ridge overhead promotes light southerly winds, ample insulation from clear skies, and minimal sea breeze disruption, pushing readings above the 85°F climatological normal amid warm sea surface temperatures exceeding 82°F. Recent 00Z GFS and ECMWF runs, issued overnight, strengthened this signal with low precipitation odds under 10%, following April 29's observed high of 86°F in dry air. Uncertainty lingers in peak afternoon heating, with updates expected in today's NWS discussions resolving near term.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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