Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certainty for Mexico City's highest temperature reaching 26°C or higher on April 30, driven by the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional's (SMN) latest forecast predicting a maximum of 31–33°C amid a persistent heatwave affecting central Mexico since April 25. This positioning stems from an anticyclonic circulation at mid-levels maintaining clear skies, light winds, and above-normal temperatures—observational data from Benito Juárez International Airport show recent daily highs near 30–32°C, exceeding April's climatological average of 26°C. Model ensembles from SMN and international sources align on minimal precipitation risk (under 10%), supporting sustained daytime heating. Realistic challenges include an unforeseen influx of cooler northerly air or isolated afternoon showers, though probabilities remain low per current guidance.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Mexico City on April 30?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on April 30?
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$14,567 Vol.
$14,567 Vol.
30 abr 2026
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$14,567 Vol.
$14,567 Vol.
30 abr 2026
21°C
$450 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$460 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$453 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certainty for Mexico City's highest temperature reaching 26°C or higher on April 30, driven by the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional's (SMN) latest forecast predicting a maximum of 31–33°C amid a persistent heatwave affecting central Mexico since April 25. This positioning stems from an anticyclonic circulation at mid-levels maintaining clear skies, light winds, and above-normal temperatures—observational data from Benito Juárez International Airport show recent daily highs near 30–32°C, exceeding April's climatological average of 26°C. Model ensembles from SMN and international sources align on minimal precipitation risk (under 10%), supporting sustained daytime heating. Realistic challenges include an unforeseen influx of cooler northerly air or isolated afternoon showers, though probabilities remain low per current guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 28, 2026, 3:06 PM ET
Volumen
$14,567Fecha de finalización
30 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 28, 2026, 3:06 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Ventana de disputas
Final
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certainty for Mexico City's highest temperature reaching 26°C or higher on April 30, driven by the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional's (SMN) latest forecast predicting a maximum of 31–33°C amid a persistent heatwave affecting central Mexico since April 25. This positioning stems from an anticyclonic circulation at mid-levels maintaining clear skies, light winds, and above-normal temperatures—observational data from Benito Juárez International Airport show recent daily highs near 30–32°C, exceeding April's climatological average of 26°C. Model ensembles from SMN and international sources align on minimal precipitation risk (under 10%), supporting sustained daytime heating. Realistic challenges include an unforeseen influx of cooler northerly air or isolated afternoon showers, though probabilities remain low per current guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$14,567Fecha de finalización
30 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 28, 2026, 3:06 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Ventana de disputas
Final
Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certainty for Mexico City's highest temperature reaching 26°C or higher on April 30, driven by the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional's (SMN) latest forecast predicting a maximum of 31–33°C amid a persistent heatwave affecting central Mexico since April 25. This positioning stems from an anticyclonic circulation at mid-levels maintaining clear skies, light winds, and above-normal temperatures—observational data from Benito Juárez International Airport show recent daily highs near 30–32°C, exceeding April's climatological average of 26°C. Model ensembles from SMN and international sources align on minimal precipitation risk (under 10%), supporting sustained daytime heating. Realistic challenges include an unforeseen influx of cooler northerly air or isolated afternoon showers, though probabilities remain low per current guidance.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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