Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 79% implied probability to Jakarta's highest temperature reaching 35°C on May 1, driven by BMKG's forecast of light rain with morning clear skies allowing solar heating before afternoon showers, combined with Halim Perdanakusuma International Airport station's urban heat island effect routinely amplifying peaks 2–3°C above city averages. Recent April highs of 33–34°C at Halim, per BMKG records, reflect an early dry season onset—drier than the 30-year norm amid transitioning ENSO-neutral conditions toward El Niño (61% NOAA chance by May–July), suppressing clouds and enhancing insolation. Climatological May baselines hover at 32°C, but analogs show 35°C frequent in low-rain setups; watch BMKG hourly updates for final model refinements.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Jakarta on May 1?
Highest temperature in Jakarta on May 1?
35°C 79%
34°C 11%
33°C 8%
32°C 5.7%
NUEVO
$52,000 Vol.
NUEVO
$52,000 Vol.
1 may 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
6%
33°C
8%
34°C
11%
35°C
79%
36°C
3%
37°C or higher
1%
35°C 79%
34°C 11%
33°C 8%
32°C 5.7%
NUEVO
$52,000 Vol.
NUEVO
$52,000 Vol.
1 may 2026
27°C or below
$1,040 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$3,786 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$1,067 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$6,569 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$4,529 Vol.
1%
32°C
$4,737 Vol.
6%
33°C
$3,572 Vol.
8%
34°C
$3,672 Vol.
11%
35°C
$8,933 Vol.
79%
36°C
$3,596 Vol.
3%
37°C or higher
$10,515 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 79% implied probability to Jakarta's highest temperature reaching 35°C on May 1, driven by BMKG's forecast of light rain with morning clear skies allowing solar heating before afternoon showers, combined with Halim Perdanakusuma International Airport station's urban heat island effect routinely amplifying peaks 2–3°C above city averages. Recent April highs of 33–34°C at Halim, per BMKG records, reflect an early dry season onset—drier than the 30-year norm amid transitioning ENSO-neutral conditions toward El Niño (61% NOAA chance by May–July), suppressing clouds and enhancing insolation. Climatological May baselines hover at 32°C, but analogs show 35°C frequent in low-rain setups; watch BMKG hourly updates for final model refinements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 29, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volumen
$52,000Fecha de finalización
1 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 29, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 79% implied probability to Jakarta's highest temperature reaching 35°C on May 1, driven by BMKG's forecast of light rain with morning clear skies allowing solar heating before afternoon showers, combined with Halim Perdanakusuma International Airport station's urban heat island effect routinely amplifying peaks 2–3°C above city averages. Recent April highs of 33–34°C at Halim, per BMKG records, reflect an early dry season onset—drier than the 30-year norm amid transitioning ENSO-neutral conditions toward El Niño (61% NOAA chance by May–July), suppressing clouds and enhancing insolation. Climatological May baselines hover at 32°C, but analogs show 35°C frequent in low-rain setups; watch BMKG hourly updates for final model refinements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$52,000Fecha de finalización
1 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 29, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 79% implied probability to Jakarta's highest temperature reaching 35°C on May 1, driven by BMKG's forecast of light rain with morning clear skies allowing solar heating before afternoon showers, combined with Halim Perdanakusuma International Airport station's urban heat island effect routinely amplifying peaks 2–3°C above city averages. Recent April highs of 33–34°C at Halim, per BMKG records, reflect an early dry season onset—drier than the 30-year norm amid transitioning ENSO-neutral conditions toward El Niño (61% NOAA chance by May–July), suppressing clouds and enhancing insolation. Climatological May baselines hover at 32°C, but analogs show 35°C frequent in low-rain setups; watch BMKG hourly updates for final model refinements.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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