National Weather Service forecasts place Houston's May 1 high temperature near 70°F at William P. Hobby Airport (KHOU), the market resolution source, driving trader consensus to a 68% implied probability for 71°F or below amid post-frontal cooling after recent 80s highs. A recent cold frontal passage has introduced cooler mid-level air masses, persistent low-level stratus clouds, and 20-30% shower chances that cap diurnal heating potential, with GFS and ECMWF ensembles showing strong agreement on subdued maxima well below the 82°F climatological normal. Northerly winds and a stalled boundary further suppress temperatures north of I-10. Uncertainties remain in exact frontal timing and cloud breaks; watch evening NWS updates and pre-dawn observations for potential shifts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Houston on May 1?
Highest temperature in Houston on May 1?
71°F or below 68.0%
72-73°F 24.8%
74-75°F 6.1%
84-85°F <1%
NUEVO
$34,222 Vol.
NUEVO
$34,222 Vol.
1 may 2026
71°F or below
68%
72-73°F
25%
74-75°F
6%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F or higher
<1%
71°F or below 68.0%
72-73°F 24.8%
74-75°F 6.1%
84-85°F <1%
NUEVO
$34,222 Vol.
NUEVO
$34,222 Vol.
1 may 2026
71°F or below
$4,536 Vol.
68%
72-73°F
$1,798 Vol.
25%
74-75°F
$2,597 Vol.
6%
76-77°F
$7,810 Vol.
1%
78-79°F
$5,603 Vol.
1%
80-81°F
$1,965 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$1,461 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$940 Vol.
1%
86-87°F
$4,547 Vol.
<1%
88-89°F
$719 Vol.
<1%
90°F or higher
$2,247 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts place Houston's May 1 high temperature near 70°F at William P. Hobby Airport (KHOU), the market resolution source, driving trader consensus to a 68% implied probability for 71°F or below amid post-frontal cooling after recent 80s highs. A recent cold frontal passage has introduced cooler mid-level air masses, persistent low-level stratus clouds, and 20-30% shower chances that cap diurnal heating potential, with GFS and ECMWF ensembles showing strong agreement on subdued maxima well below the 82°F climatological normal. Northerly winds and a stalled boundary further suppress temperatures north of I-10. Uncertainties remain in exact frontal timing and cloud breaks; watch evening NWS updates and pre-dawn observations for potential shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 29, 2026, 12:23 AM ET
Volumen
$34,222Fecha de finalización
1 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 29, 2026, 12:23 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts place Houston's May 1 high temperature near 70°F at William P. Hobby Airport (KHOU), the market resolution source, driving trader consensus to a 68% implied probability for 71°F or below amid post-frontal cooling after recent 80s highs. A recent cold frontal passage has introduced cooler mid-level air masses, persistent low-level stratus clouds, and 20-30% shower chances that cap diurnal heating potential, with GFS and ECMWF ensembles showing strong agreement on subdued maxima well below the 82°F climatological normal. Northerly winds and a stalled boundary further suppress temperatures north of I-10. Uncertainties remain in exact frontal timing and cloud breaks; watch evening NWS updates and pre-dawn observations for potential shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$34,222Fecha de finalización
1 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 29, 2026, 12:23 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts place Houston's May 1 high temperature near 70°F at William P. Hobby Airport (KHOU), the market resolution source, driving trader consensus to a 68% implied probability for 71°F or below amid post-frontal cooling after recent 80s highs. A recent cold frontal passage has introduced cooler mid-level air masses, persistent low-level stratus clouds, and 20-30% shower chances that cap diurnal heating potential, with GFS and ECMWF ensembles showing strong agreement on subdued maxima well below the 82°F climatological normal. Northerly winds and a stalled boundary further suppress temperatures north of I-10. Uncertainties remain in exact frontal timing and cloud breaks; watch evening NWS updates and pre-dawn observations for potential shifts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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