Latest short-range forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) and global models including ECMWF and GFS project Guangzhou's highest temperature on May 1 at around 28°C, driven by partly cloudy conditions and isolated moderate rain showers that cap daytime heating in the city's humid subtropical climate. Recent observations show late-April highs consistently near 27°C, aligning with seasonal norms where early May averages 28–29°C amid rising solar insolation but moderated by frontal influences and 80% humidity. Trader consensus, with 28°C at 46.5% and 27°C at 28% implied probabilities, reflects this model agreement and climatological baselines, though slight shifts remain possible from evolving cloud cover; monitor CMA hourly updates from Baiyun International Airport for resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Guangzhou el 1 de mayo?
¿La temperatura más alta en Guangzhou el 1 de mayo?
28°C 46%
27°C 29%
29°C 17%
30°C 9%
$14,153 Vol.
$14,153 Vol.
22°C o menos
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
29%
28°C
46%
29°C
17%
30°C
9%
31°C
2%
32°C o más
1%
28°C 46%
27°C 29%
29°C 17%
30°C 9%
$14,153 Vol.
$14,153 Vol.
22°C o menos
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
29%
28°C
46%
29°C
17%
30°C
9%
31°C
2%
32°C o más
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 29, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest short-range forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) and global models including ECMWF and GFS project Guangzhou's highest temperature on May 1 at around 28°C, driven by partly cloudy conditions and isolated moderate rain showers that cap daytime heating in the city's humid subtropical climate. Recent observations show late-April highs consistently near 27°C, aligning with seasonal norms where early May averages 28–29°C amid rising solar insolation but moderated by frontal influences and 80% humidity. Trader consensus, with 28°C at 46.5% and 27°C at 28% implied probabilities, reflects this model agreement and climatological baselines, though slight shifts remain possible from evolving cloud cover; monitor CMA hourly updates from Baiyun International Airport for resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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