Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward 28°C (35.5%) and 27°C (28.0%) as the highest temperature in Guangzhou on May 1, reflecting tight uncertainty in forecast ensembles from global models like GFS and ECMWF, which project daytime peaks in the 27–29°C range amid partly cloudy skies and moderate humidity. This positioning stems from Guangzhou's subtropical monsoon climate, where early May marks the transition to summer with average historical highs near 28°C on May 1 per long-term China Meteorological Administration records, influenced by southerly winds and occasional showers suppressing extremes. Model divergences arise from cloud cover variability and urban heat effects; final CMA updates expected today could refine trader sentiment before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Guangzhou el 1 de mayo?
¿La temperatura más alta en Guangzhou el 1 de mayo?
28°C 47%
27°C 20%
29°C 18%
30°C 11%
NUEVO
NUEVO
1 may 2026
22°C o menos
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
2%
26°C
5%
27°C
20%
28°C
44%
29°C
15%
30°C
11%
31°C
3%
32°C o más
1%
28°C 47%
27°C 20%
29°C 18%
30°C 11%
NUEVO
NUEVO
1 may 2026
22°C o menos
$850 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$1,159 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$1,268 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$808 Vol.
2%
26°C
$375 Vol.
5%
27°C
$155 Vol.
20%
28°C
$186 Vol.
44%
29°C
$165 Vol.
15%
30°C
$469 Vol.
11%
31°C
$1,151 Vol.
3%
32°C o más
$1,737 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward 28°C (35.5%) and 27°C (28.0%) as the highest temperature in Guangzhou on May 1, reflecting tight uncertainty in forecast ensembles from global models like GFS and ECMWF, which project daytime peaks in the 27–29°C range amid partly cloudy skies and moderate humidity. This positioning stems from Guangzhou's subtropical monsoon climate, where early May marks the transition to summer with average historical highs near 28°C on May 1 per long-term China Meteorological Administration records, influenced by southerly winds and occasional showers suppressing extremes. Model divergences arise from cloud cover variability and urban heat effects; final CMA updates expected today could refine trader sentiment before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 29, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Volumen
$8,280Fecha de finalización
1 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 29, 2026, 12:12 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward 28°C (35.5%) and 27°C (28.0%) as the highest temperature in Guangzhou on May 1, reflecting tight uncertainty in forecast ensembles from global models like GFS and ECMWF, which project daytime peaks in the 27–29°C range amid partly cloudy skies and moderate humidity. This positioning stems from Guangzhou's subtropical monsoon climate, where early May marks the transition to summer with average historical highs near 28°C on May 1 per long-term China Meteorological Administration records, influenced by southerly winds and occasional showers suppressing extremes. Model divergences arise from cloud cover variability and urban heat effects; final CMA updates expected today could refine trader sentiment before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$8,280Fecha de finalización
1 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 29, 2026, 12:12 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward 28°C (35.5%) and 27°C (28.0%) as the highest temperature in Guangzhou on May 1, reflecting tight uncertainty in forecast ensembles from global models like GFS and ECMWF, which project daytime peaks in the 27–29°C range amid partly cloudy skies and moderate humidity. This positioning stems from Guangzhou's subtropical monsoon climate, where early May marks the transition to summer with average historical highs near 28°C on May 1 per long-term China Meteorological Administration records, influenced by southerly winds and occasional showers suppressing extremes. Model divergences arise from cloud cover variability and urban heat effects; final CMA updates expected today could refine trader sentiment before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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