Trader consensus on Polymarket, with 66% implied probability for 58°F or higher in Denver on May 1, aligns with the latest National Weather Service Denver/Boulder forecasts projecting highs near 57-60°F at Buckley Space Force Base, the market's resolution station. This positioning stems from recent model consensus—GFS and ECMWF ensembles showing a lingering upper-level trough over the Rockies bringing showers and moderating temperatures after a cool, wet late April pattern with highs in the 40s-50s and mountain snow. Diurnal heating and potential partial clearing post-frontal passage support the upper 50s, though uncertainty persists in cloud cover and timing, with 56-57°F at 24% reflecting model spread. New 12z runs and NWS updates expected today could refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Denver on May 1?
Highest temperature in Denver on May 1?
58°F or higher 70.3%
56-57°F 23%
54-55°F 6%
52-53°F 3.3%
NUEVO
$25,032 Vol.
NUEVO
$25,032 Vol.
1 may 2026
39°F or below
<1%
40-41°F
<1%
42-43°F
<1%
44-45°F
<1%
46-47°F
<1%
48-49°F
<1%
50-51°F
1%
52-53°F
3%
54-55°F
6%
56-57°F
23%
58°F or higher
70%
58°F or higher 70.3%
56-57°F 23%
54-55°F 6%
52-53°F 3.3%
NUEVO
$25,032 Vol.
NUEVO
$25,032 Vol.
1 may 2026
39°F or below
$2,542 Vol.
<1%
40-41°F
$360 Vol.
<1%
42-43°F
$230 Vol.
<1%
44-45°F
$8,613 Vol.
<1%
46-47°F
$3,001 Vol.
<1%
48-49°F
$3,402 Vol.
<1%
50-51°F
$1,637 Vol.
1%
52-53°F
$1,482 Vol.
3%
54-55°F
$1,002 Vol.
6%
56-57°F
$1,130 Vol.
23%
58°F or higher
$1,858 Vol.
70%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket, with 66% implied probability for 58°F or higher in Denver on May 1, aligns with the latest National Weather Service Denver/Boulder forecasts projecting highs near 57-60°F at Buckley Space Force Base, the market's resolution station. This positioning stems from recent model consensus—GFS and ECMWF ensembles showing a lingering upper-level trough over the Rockies bringing showers and moderating temperatures after a cool, wet late April pattern with highs in the 40s-50s and mountain snow. Diurnal heating and potential partial clearing post-frontal passage support the upper 50s, though uncertainty persists in cloud cover and timing, with 56-57°F at 24% reflecting model spread. New 12z runs and NWS updates expected today could refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 29, 2026, 12:37 AM ET
Volumen
$25,032Fecha de finalización
1 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 29, 2026, 12:37 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket, with 66% implied probability for 58°F or higher in Denver on May 1, aligns with the latest National Weather Service Denver/Boulder forecasts projecting highs near 57-60°F at Buckley Space Force Base, the market's resolution station. This positioning stems from recent model consensus—GFS and ECMWF ensembles showing a lingering upper-level trough over the Rockies bringing showers and moderating temperatures after a cool, wet late April pattern with highs in the 40s-50s and mountain snow. Diurnal heating and potential partial clearing post-frontal passage support the upper 50s, though uncertainty persists in cloud cover and timing, with 56-57°F at 24% reflecting model spread. New 12z runs and NWS updates expected today could refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$25,032Fecha de finalización
1 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 29, 2026, 12:37 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket, with 66% implied probability for 58°F or higher in Denver on May 1, aligns with the latest National Weather Service Denver/Boulder forecasts projecting highs near 57-60°F at Buckley Space Force Base, the market's resolution station. This positioning stems from recent model consensus—GFS and ECMWF ensembles showing a lingering upper-level trough over the Rockies bringing showers and moderating temperatures after a cool, wet late April pattern with highs in the 40s-50s and mountain snow. Diurnal heating and potential partial clearing post-frontal passage support the upper 50s, though uncertainty persists in cloud cover and timing, with 56-57°F at 24% reflecting model spread. New 12z runs and NWS updates expected today could refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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