The National Weather Service's latest forecast for Dallas on May 1 projects a high temperature near 67°F under mostly cloudy skies with chances of showers, driving trader consensus to a 98.2% implied probability for 67°F or below as models like GFS and ECMWF converge on this cool outcome. This positioning stems from a recent cold front sweeping through North Texas over the past week, delivering a stable cool air mass aloft and low-level moisture that caps daytime heating, well below the typical early May average of around 82°F. Short-range forecast accuracy exceeds 90% at this range, but realistic challenges include unexpected clearing skies, stronger southerly winds, or front stalling northward, potentially allowing highs into the upper 60s—key factors traders monitor ahead of hourly observations resolving the market.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Dallas on May 1?
Highest temperature in Dallas on May 1?
67°F or below 98.2%
68-69°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
86°F or higher <1%
NUEVO
$25,276 Vol.
NUEVO
$25,276 Vol.
1 may 2026
67°F or below
98%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86°F or higher
<1%
67°F or below 98.2%
68-69°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
86°F or higher <1%
NUEVO
$25,276 Vol.
NUEVO
$25,276 Vol.
1 may 2026
67°F or below
$9,834 Vol.
98%
68-69°F
$4,283 Vol.
1%
70-71°F
$3,356 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$2,178 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$1,256 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$290 Vol.
<1%
78-79°F
$452 Vol.
<1%
80-81°F
$344 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$434 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$344 Vol.
<1%
86°F or higher
$2,511 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The National Weather Service's latest forecast for Dallas on May 1 projects a high temperature near 67°F under mostly cloudy skies with chances of showers, driving trader consensus to a 98.2% implied probability for 67°F or below as models like GFS and ECMWF converge on this cool outcome. This positioning stems from a recent cold front sweeping through North Texas over the past week, delivering a stable cool air mass aloft and low-level moisture that caps daytime heating, well below the typical early May average of around 82°F. Short-range forecast accuracy exceeds 90% at this range, but realistic challenges include unexpected clearing skies, stronger southerly winds, or front stalling northward, potentially allowing highs into the upper 60s—key factors traders monitor ahead of hourly observations resolving the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 29, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volumen
$25,276Fecha de finalización
1 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 29, 2026, 12:06 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The National Weather Service's latest forecast for Dallas on May 1 projects a high temperature near 67°F under mostly cloudy skies with chances of showers, driving trader consensus to a 98.2% implied probability for 67°F or below as models like GFS and ECMWF converge on this cool outcome. This positioning stems from a recent cold front sweeping through North Texas over the past week, delivering a stable cool air mass aloft and low-level moisture that caps daytime heating, well below the typical early May average of around 82°F. Short-range forecast accuracy exceeds 90% at this range, but realistic challenges include unexpected clearing skies, stronger southerly winds, or front stalling northward, potentially allowing highs into the upper 60s—key factors traders monitor ahead of hourly observations resolving the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$25,276Fecha de finalización
1 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 29, 2026, 12:06 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...The National Weather Service's latest forecast for Dallas on May 1 projects a high temperature near 67°F under mostly cloudy skies with chances of showers, driving trader consensus to a 98.2% implied probability for 67°F or below as models like GFS and ECMWF converge on this cool outcome. This positioning stems from a recent cold front sweeping through North Texas over the past week, delivering a stable cool air mass aloft and low-level moisture that caps daytime heating, well below the typical early May average of around 82°F. Short-range forecast accuracy exceeds 90% at this range, but realistic challenges include unexpected clearing skies, stronger southerly winds, or front stalling northward, potentially allowing highs into the upper 60s—key factors traders monitor ahead of hourly observations resolving the market.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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