Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a high temperature of 67°F or below in Dallas on May 1, with 98.2% implied probability, reflecting the National Weather Service's latest guidance projecting daytime highs in the 50s to low 60s amid persistent cool and damp conditions from a recent cold front. Northerly winds and scattered showers are inhibiting solar heating and atmospheric mixing, keeping readings well below the climatological May 1 average near 82°F, where historical lows have occasionally dipped into the 50s. Model ensembles from NOAA show tight agreement on this trajectory through tomorrow's forecast cycle. Realistic challenges include an abrupt front stalling or unexpected clearing leading to enhanced insolation, though current observations and ensemble means suggest minimal risk ahead of afternoon updates.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Dallas on May 1?
Highest temperature in Dallas on May 1?
67°F or below 98.2%
68-69°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
86°F or higher <1%
NUEVO
$25,262 Vol.
NUEVO
$25,262 Vol.
1 may 2026
67°F or below
98%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86°F or higher
<1%
67°F or below 98.2%
68-69°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
86°F or higher <1%
NUEVO
$25,262 Vol.
NUEVO
$25,262 Vol.
1 may 2026
67°F or below
$9,823 Vol.
98%
68-69°F
$4,283 Vol.
1%
70-71°F
$3,356 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$2,178 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$1,256 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$290 Vol.
<1%
78-79°F
$452 Vol.
<1%
80-81°F
$344 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$434 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$344 Vol.
<1%
86°F or higher
$2,503 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a high temperature of 67°F or below in Dallas on May 1, with 98.2% implied probability, reflecting the National Weather Service's latest guidance projecting daytime highs in the 50s to low 60s amid persistent cool and damp conditions from a recent cold front. Northerly winds and scattered showers are inhibiting solar heating and atmospheric mixing, keeping readings well below the climatological May 1 average near 82°F, where historical lows have occasionally dipped into the 50s. Model ensembles from NOAA show tight agreement on this trajectory through tomorrow's forecast cycle. Realistic challenges include an abrupt front stalling or unexpected clearing leading to enhanced insolation, though current observations and ensemble means suggest minimal risk ahead of afternoon updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 29, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volumen
$25,262Fecha de finalización
1 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 29, 2026, 12:06 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a high temperature of 67°F or below in Dallas on May 1, with 98.2% implied probability, reflecting the National Weather Service's latest guidance projecting daytime highs in the 50s to low 60s amid persistent cool and damp conditions from a recent cold front. Northerly winds and scattered showers are inhibiting solar heating and atmospheric mixing, keeping readings well below the climatological May 1 average near 82°F, where historical lows have occasionally dipped into the 50s. Model ensembles from NOAA show tight agreement on this trajectory through tomorrow's forecast cycle. Realistic challenges include an abrupt front stalling or unexpected clearing leading to enhanced insolation, though current observations and ensemble means suggest minimal risk ahead of afternoon updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$25,262Fecha de finalización
1 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 29, 2026, 12:06 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a high temperature of 67°F or below in Dallas on May 1, with 98.2% implied probability, reflecting the National Weather Service's latest guidance projecting daytime highs in the 50s to low 60s amid persistent cool and damp conditions from a recent cold front. Northerly winds and scattered showers are inhibiting solar heating and atmospheric mixing, keeping readings well below the climatological May 1 average near 82°F, where historical lows have occasionally dipped into the 50s. Model ensembles from NOAA show tight agreement on this trajectory through tomorrow's forecast cycle. Realistic challenges include an abrupt front stalling or unexpected clearing leading to enhanced insolation, though current observations and ensemble means suggest minimal risk ahead of afternoon updates.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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