Latest China Meteorological Administration forecasts and global model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF indicate Chongqing's highest temperature on May 8 clustering around 20-23°C, driving the tight market-implied odds across these outcomes amid genuine short-range uncertainty. Following May 5's observed 31°C peak under clear skies, a weakening high-pressure ridge has ushered in cloudier conditions with light rain risks and southerly winds advecting humid air, capping daytime solar insolation and favoring moderated highs consistent with early-May climatology (historical average ~25°C, standard deviation ±3°C). Differentiation hinges on cloud cover persistence versus afternoon clearing; 23°C or higher leads slightly on optimistic ECMWF runs, while 20-21°C gain from conservative CMA guidance. Traders await May 7 updates from monitoring stations at Jiangbei Airport for resolution-defining observations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Chongqing on May 8?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on May 8?
20°C 32%
21°C 31%
19°C 22%
22°C 10%
NUEVO
NUEVO
8 may 2026
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
5%
19°C
22%
20°C
32%
21°C
28%
22°C
10%
23°C or higher
5%
20°C 32%
21°C 31%
19°C 22%
22°C 10%
NUEVO
NUEVO
8 may 2026
13°C or below
$684 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$634 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$1,003 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$1,141 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$721 Vol.
1%
18°C
$1,150 Vol.
5%
19°C
$95 Vol.
22%
20°C
$132 Vol.
32%
21°C
$103 Vol.
28%
22°C
$640 Vol.
10%
23°C or higher
$1,619 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest China Meteorological Administration forecasts and global model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF indicate Chongqing's highest temperature on May 8 clustering around 20-23°C, driving the tight market-implied odds across these outcomes amid genuine short-range uncertainty. Following May 5's observed 31°C peak under clear skies, a weakening high-pressure ridge has ushered in cloudier conditions with light rain risks and southerly winds advecting humid air, capping daytime solar insolation and favoring moderated highs consistent with early-May climatology (historical average ~25°C, standard deviation ±3°C). Differentiation hinges on cloud cover persistence versus afternoon clearing; 23°C or higher leads slightly on optimistic ECMWF runs, while 20-21°C gain from conservative CMA guidance. Traders await May 7 updates from monitoring stations at Jiangbei Airport for resolution-defining observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 6, 2026, 12:27 AM ET
Volumen
$7,898Fecha de finalización
8 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 6, 2026, 12:27 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest China Meteorological Administration forecasts and global model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF indicate Chongqing's highest temperature on May 8 clustering around 20-23°C, driving the tight market-implied odds across these outcomes amid genuine short-range uncertainty. Following May 5's observed 31°C peak under clear skies, a weakening high-pressure ridge has ushered in cloudier conditions with light rain risks and southerly winds advecting humid air, capping daytime solar insolation and favoring moderated highs consistent with early-May climatology (historical average ~25°C, standard deviation ±3°C). Differentiation hinges on cloud cover persistence versus afternoon clearing; 23°C or higher leads slightly on optimistic ECMWF runs, while 20-21°C gain from conservative CMA guidance. Traders await May 7 updates from monitoring stations at Jiangbei Airport for resolution-defining observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$7,898Fecha de finalización
8 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 6, 2026, 12:27 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest China Meteorological Administration forecasts and global model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF indicate Chongqing's highest temperature on May 8 clustering around 20-23°C, driving the tight market-implied odds across these outcomes amid genuine short-range uncertainty. Following May 5's observed 31°C peak under clear skies, a weakening high-pressure ridge has ushered in cloudier conditions with light rain risks and southerly winds advecting humid air, capping daytime solar insolation and favoring moderated highs consistent with early-May climatology (historical average ~25°C, standard deviation ±3°C). Differentiation hinges on cloud cover persistence versus afternoon clearing; 23°C or higher leads slightly on optimistic ECMWF runs, while 20-21°C gain from conservative CMA guidance. Traders await May 7 updates from monitoring stations at Jiangbei Airport for resolution-defining observations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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