Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a near-even split for Chengdu's May 1 highest temperature around 21-22°C, driven by the latest forecast models from AccuWeather and BBC Weather projecting a high of 22°C under mostly cloudy skies with 24% precipitation chance and northerly winds at 11 km/h. Persistent overcast conditions from late April—where highs reached 23°C on April 30— are suppressing diurnal heating despite seasonal warming trends toward May averages of 26°C. Lows dipping to 15°C overnight further temper peak warmth potential. Inherent model uncertainty persists, with updates from China Meteorological Administration overnight potentially shifting odds before resolution based on official observations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Chengdu on May 1?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on May 1?
22°C or higher 48.2%
21°C 31%
20°C 19%
19°C 3.5%
NUEVO
$25,537 Vol.
NUEVO
$25,537 Vol.
1 may 2026
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
3%
20°C
19%
21°C
31%
22°C or higher
48%
22°C or higher 48.2%
21°C 31%
20°C 19%
19°C 3.5%
NUEVO
$25,537 Vol.
NUEVO
$25,537 Vol.
1 may 2026
12°C or below
$2,313 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$1,918 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$2,347 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$1,076 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$3,462 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$1,888 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$3,308 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$3,291 Vol.
3%
20°C
$1,779 Vol.
19%
21°C
$1,362 Vol.
31%
22°C or higher
$2,793 Vol.
48%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a near-even split for Chengdu's May 1 highest temperature around 21-22°C, driven by the latest forecast models from AccuWeather and BBC Weather projecting a high of 22°C under mostly cloudy skies with 24% precipitation chance and northerly winds at 11 km/h. Persistent overcast conditions from late April—where highs reached 23°C on April 30— are suppressing diurnal heating despite seasonal warming trends toward May averages of 26°C. Lows dipping to 15°C overnight further temper peak warmth potential. Inherent model uncertainty persists, with updates from China Meteorological Administration overnight potentially shifting odds before resolution based on official observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 29, 2026, 12:23 AM ET
Volumen
$25,537Fecha de finalización
1 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 29, 2026, 12:23 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a near-even split for Chengdu's May 1 highest temperature around 21-22°C, driven by the latest forecast models from AccuWeather and BBC Weather projecting a high of 22°C under mostly cloudy skies with 24% precipitation chance and northerly winds at 11 km/h. Persistent overcast conditions from late April—where highs reached 23°C on April 30— are suppressing diurnal heating despite seasonal warming trends toward May averages of 26°C. Lows dipping to 15°C overnight further temper peak warmth potential. Inherent model uncertainty persists, with updates from China Meteorological Administration overnight potentially shifting odds before resolution based on official observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$25,537Fecha de finalización
1 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 29, 2026, 12:23 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a near-even split for Chengdu's May 1 highest temperature around 21-22°C, driven by the latest forecast models from AccuWeather and BBC Weather projecting a high of 22°C under mostly cloudy skies with 24% precipitation chance and northerly winds at 11 km/h. Persistent overcast conditions from late April—where highs reached 23°C on April 30— are suppressing diurnal heating despite seasonal warming trends toward May averages of 26°C. Lows dipping to 15°C overnight further temper peak warmth potential. Inherent model uncertainty persists, with updates from China Meteorological Administration overnight potentially shifting odds before resolution based on official observations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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