Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a near-certain implied probability to a 22°C high in Chengdu on April 30, backed by China Meteorological Administration observations at Shuangliu International Airport showing midday peaks near 21°C amid persistent overcast skies, 99% cloud cover, and north-northeasterly winds that curb solar insolation and convective heating. ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts align with a maximum of 22–23°C under this cooler synoptic pattern, diverging from April's typical 23–24°C average due to incoming light rain suppressing further warming. Final CMA data after midnight will confirm resolution; a sudden cloud break enabling brief insolation spikes could realistically push to 23°C, though model uncertainty ranges deem this low-probability.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Chengdu on April 30?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on April 30?
22°C 100.0%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$124,635 Vol.
$124,635 Vol.
30 abr 2026
22°C
100%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
22°C 100.0%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$124,635 Vol.
$124,635 Vol.
30 abr 2026
22°C
$24,162 Vol.
100%
23°C
$15,617 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$11,630 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$11,873 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$9,828 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$8,810 Vol.
<1%
28°C or higher
$9,323 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a near-certain implied probability to a 22°C high in Chengdu on April 30, backed by China Meteorological Administration observations at Shuangliu International Airport showing midday peaks near 21°C amid persistent overcast skies, 99% cloud cover, and north-northeasterly winds that curb solar insolation and convective heating. ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts align with a maximum of 22–23°C under this cooler synoptic pattern, diverging from April's typical 23–24°C average due to incoming light rain suppressing further warming. Final CMA data after midnight will confirm resolution; a sudden cloud break enabling brief insolation spikes could realistically push to 23°C, though model uncertainty ranges deem this low-probability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 28, 2026, 3:02 PM ET
Volumen
$124,635Fecha de finalización
30 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 28, 2026, 3:02 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a near-certain implied probability to a 22°C high in Chengdu on April 30, backed by China Meteorological Administration observations at Shuangliu International Airport showing midday peaks near 21°C amid persistent overcast skies, 99% cloud cover, and north-northeasterly winds that curb solar insolation and convective heating. ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts align with a maximum of 22–23°C under this cooler synoptic pattern, diverging from April's typical 23–24°C average due to incoming light rain suppressing further warming. Final CMA data after midnight will confirm resolution; a sudden cloud break enabling brief insolation spikes could realistically push to 23°C, though model uncertainty ranges deem this low-probability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$124,635Fecha de finalización
30 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 28, 2026, 3:02 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a near-certain implied probability to a 22°C high in Chengdu on April 30, backed by China Meteorological Administration observations at Shuangliu International Airport showing midday peaks near 21°C amid persistent overcast skies, 99% cloud cover, and north-northeasterly winds that curb solar insolation and convective heating. ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts align with a maximum of 22–23°C under this cooler synoptic pattern, diverging from April's typical 23–24°C average due to incoming light rain suppressing further warming. Final CMA data after midnight will confirm resolution; a sudden cloud break enabling brief insolation spikes could realistically push to 23°C, though model uncertainty ranges deem this low-probability.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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