Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a high temperature of 44°F or higher in Denver on May 9 (99.5% implied probability), driven by the latest National Weather Service Boulder forecasts showing a warming trend post a mid-week cold front. After rain and snow showers depressed highs to 39–44°F on May 5–6 amid northerly flow and upslope conditions, high pressure is building, with model consensus projecting mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies and highs near 72°F on Saturday—well above the early May climatological average of 67°F, where sub-44°F days are rare (below 5th percentile historically). New observational data from Denver International Airport confirms the front's departure, supporting this positioning. Realistic challenges include unexpected cold air advection or convective development stalling the warmup, though low-probability per ensemble guidance; watch NWS updates Friday for refined model runs.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Denver on May 9?
Highest temperature in Denver on May 9?
44°F or higher 99.3%
38-39°F <1%
40-41°F <1%
42-43°F <1%
NUEVO
$15,174 Vol.
NUEVO
$15,174 Vol.
9 may 2026
25°F or below
<1%
26-27°F
1%
28-29°F
<1%
30-31°F
<1%
32-33°F
<1%
34-35°F
<1%
36-37°F
<1%
38-39°F
1%
40-41°F
1%
42-43°F
1%
44°F or higher
99%
44°F or higher 99.3%
38-39°F <1%
40-41°F <1%
42-43°F <1%
NUEVO
$15,174 Vol.
NUEVO
$15,174 Vol.
9 may 2026
25°F or below
$1,349 Vol.
<1%
26-27°F
$798 Vol.
1%
28-29°F
$926 Vol.
<1%
30-31°F
$1,010 Vol.
<1%
32-33°F
$788 Vol.
<1%
34-35°F
$788 Vol.
<1%
36-37°F
$810 Vol.
<1%
38-39°F
$588 Vol.
1%
40-41°F
$814 Vol.
1%
42-43°F
$1,025 Vol.
1%
44°F or higher
$6,281 Vol.
99%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a high temperature of 44°F or higher in Denver on May 9 (99.5% implied probability), driven by the latest National Weather Service Boulder forecasts showing a warming trend post a mid-week cold front. After rain and snow showers depressed highs to 39–44°F on May 5–6 amid northerly flow and upslope conditions, high pressure is building, with model consensus projecting mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies and highs near 72°F on Saturday—well above the early May climatological average of 67°F, where sub-44°F days are rare (below 5th percentile historically). New observational data from Denver International Airport confirms the front's departure, supporting this positioning. Realistic challenges include unexpected cold air advection or convective development stalling the warmup, though low-probability per ensemble guidance; watch NWS updates Friday for refined model runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 7, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Volumen
$15,174Fecha de finalización
9 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 7, 2026, 12:12 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a high temperature of 44°F or higher in Denver on May 9 (99.5% implied probability), driven by the latest National Weather Service Boulder forecasts showing a warming trend post a mid-week cold front. After rain and snow showers depressed highs to 39–44°F on May 5–6 amid northerly flow and upslope conditions, high pressure is building, with model consensus projecting mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies and highs near 72°F on Saturday—well above the early May climatological average of 67°F, where sub-44°F days are rare (below 5th percentile historically). New observational data from Denver International Airport confirms the front's departure, supporting this positioning. Realistic challenges include unexpected cold air advection or convective development stalling the warmup, though low-probability per ensemble guidance; watch NWS updates Friday for refined model runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$15,174Fecha de finalización
9 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 7, 2026, 12:12 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a high temperature of 44°F or higher in Denver on May 9 (99.5% implied probability), driven by the latest National Weather Service Boulder forecasts showing a warming trend post a mid-week cold front. After rain and snow showers depressed highs to 39–44°F on May 5–6 amid northerly flow and upslope conditions, high pressure is building, with model consensus projecting mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies and highs near 72°F on Saturday—well above the early May climatological average of 67°F, where sub-44°F days are rare (below 5th percentile historically). New observational data from Denver International Airport confirms the front's departure, supporting this positioning. Realistic challenges include unexpected cold air advection or convective development stalling the warmup, though low-probability per ensemble guidance; watch NWS updates Friday for refined model runs.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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