Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 17°C (34%) and 16°C (32.5%) for Buenos Aires' highest temperature on May 2, reflecting forecast model uncertainty amid early autumn cooling after April's above-normal warmth averaging 20.4°C versus the 18.5°C norm. Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) guidance and global ensembles like GFS/ECMWF project highs in the mid-to-upper teens, driven by persistent southerly pampero winds and variable cloud cover that could cap peaks; 18°C at 20.5% accounts for potential brief ridging, while lower outcomes fade due to climatological baselines dropping from 19°C early May to 16°C later. Key differentiators include diurnal timing of any clearing skies and cold air advection strength. Daily SMN bulletins and 12Z model refreshes will refine this before Aeroparque station resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on May 2?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on May 2?
16°C 34%
17°C 34%
18°C 19%
15°C 9%
NUEVO
NUEVO
2 may 2026
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
1%
14°C
5%
15°C
9%
16°C
34%
17°C
34%
18°C
19%
19°C
5%
20°C or higher
2%
16°C 34%
17°C 34%
18°C 19%
15°C 9%
NUEVO
NUEVO
2 may 2026
10°C or below
$1,279 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$437 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$717 Vol.
1%
13°C
$1,272 Vol.
1%
14°C
$280 Vol.
5%
15°C
$229 Vol.
9%
16°C
$539 Vol.
34%
17°C
$381 Vol.
34%
18°C
$231 Vol.
19%
19°C
$1,005 Vol.
5%
20°C or higher
$1,472 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 17°C (34%) and 16°C (32.5%) for Buenos Aires' highest temperature on May 2, reflecting forecast model uncertainty amid early autumn cooling after April's above-normal warmth averaging 20.4°C versus the 18.5°C norm. Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) guidance and global ensembles like GFS/ECMWF project highs in the mid-to-upper teens, driven by persistent southerly pampero winds and variable cloud cover that could cap peaks; 18°C at 20.5% accounts for potential brief ridging, while lower outcomes fade due to climatological baselines dropping from 19°C early May to 16°C later. Key differentiators include diurnal timing of any clearing skies and cold air advection strength. Daily SMN bulletins and 12Z model refreshes will refine this before Aeroparque station resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 30, 2026, 12:21 AM ET
Volumen
$7,837Fecha de finalización
2 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 30, 2026, 12:21 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 17°C (34%) and 16°C (32.5%) for Buenos Aires' highest temperature on May 2, reflecting forecast model uncertainty amid early autumn cooling after April's above-normal warmth averaging 20.4°C versus the 18.5°C norm. Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) guidance and global ensembles like GFS/ECMWF project highs in the mid-to-upper teens, driven by persistent southerly pampero winds and variable cloud cover that could cap peaks; 18°C at 20.5% accounts for potential brief ridging, while lower outcomes fade due to climatological baselines dropping from 19°C early May to 16°C later. Key differentiators include diurnal timing of any clearing skies and cold air advection strength. Daily SMN bulletins and 12Z model refreshes will refine this before Aeroparque station resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$7,837Fecha de finalización
2 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 30, 2026, 12:21 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 17°C (34%) and 16°C (32.5%) for Buenos Aires' highest temperature on May 2, reflecting forecast model uncertainty amid early autumn cooling after April's above-normal warmth averaging 20.4°C versus the 18.5°C norm. Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) guidance and global ensembles like GFS/ECMWF project highs in the mid-to-upper teens, driven by persistent southerly pampero winds and variable cloud cover that could cap peaks; 18°C at 20.5% accounts for potential brief ridging, while lower outcomes fade due to climatological baselines dropping from 19°C early May to 16°C later. Key differentiators include diurnal timing of any clearing skies and cold air advection strength. Daily SMN bulletins and 12Z model refreshes will refine this before Aeroparque station resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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