Latest ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models, corroborated by SMN Argentina guidance, project a high of around 24°C at Ministro Pistarini International Airport on May 1, driven by northerly winds transporting warm subtropical air under a persistent high-pressure ridge, elevating trader consensus to 41% implied probability for that outcome. This warmer-than-average outlook—May norms hover near 19°C—builds on April's +1.3°C temperature anomaly and SMN's seasonal prediction for above-normal autumn heat in central Argentina. Nearby probabilities for 25°C (22%) and 23°C (20%) capture short-range uncertainty from potential cloudiness or sea-breeze effects, with final model runs and hourly observations resolving the market within 24 hours.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on May 1?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on May 1?
24°C 41%
25°C 22.3%
23°C 20%
22°C 10%
NUEVO
$36,673 Vol.
NUEVO
$36,673 Vol.
1 may 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
3%
22°C
10%
23°C
20%
24°C
41%
25°C
22%
26°C or higher
8%
24°C 41%
25°C 22.3%
23°C 20%
22°C 10%
NUEVO
$36,673 Vol.
NUEVO
$36,673 Vol.
1 may 2026
16°C or below
$1,914 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$6,036 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$8,635 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$5,282 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$5,722 Vol.
1%
21°C
$1,789 Vol.
3%
22°C
$1,260 Vol.
10%
23°C
$812 Vol.
20%
24°C
$1,516 Vol.
41%
25°C
$1,454 Vol.
22%
26°C or higher
$2,452 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models, corroborated by SMN Argentina guidance, project a high of around 24°C at Ministro Pistarini International Airport on May 1, driven by northerly winds transporting warm subtropical air under a persistent high-pressure ridge, elevating trader consensus to 41% implied probability for that outcome. This warmer-than-average outlook—May norms hover near 19°C—builds on April's +1.3°C temperature anomaly and SMN's seasonal prediction for above-normal autumn heat in central Argentina. Nearby probabilities for 25°C (22%) and 23°C (20%) capture short-range uncertainty from potential cloudiness or sea-breeze effects, with final model runs and hourly observations resolving the market within 24 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 29, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volumen
$36,673Fecha de finalización
1 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 29, 2026, 12:06 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models, corroborated by SMN Argentina guidance, project a high of around 24°C at Ministro Pistarini International Airport on May 1, driven by northerly winds transporting warm subtropical air under a persistent high-pressure ridge, elevating trader consensus to 41% implied probability for that outcome. This warmer-than-average outlook—May norms hover near 19°C—builds on April's +1.3°C temperature anomaly and SMN's seasonal prediction for above-normal autumn heat in central Argentina. Nearby probabilities for 25°C (22%) and 23°C (20%) capture short-range uncertainty from potential cloudiness or sea-breeze effects, with final model runs and hourly observations resolving the market within 24 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$36,673Fecha de finalización
1 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 29, 2026, 12:06 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models, corroborated by SMN Argentina guidance, project a high of around 24°C at Ministro Pistarini International Airport on May 1, driven by northerly winds transporting warm subtropical air under a persistent high-pressure ridge, elevating trader consensus to 41% implied probability for that outcome. This warmer-than-average outlook—May norms hover near 19°C—builds on April's +1.3°C temperature anomaly and SMN's seasonal prediction for above-normal autumn heat in central Argentina. Nearby probabilities for 25°C (22%) and 23°C (20%) capture short-range uncertainty from potential cloudiness or sea-breeze effects, with final model runs and hourly observations resolving the market within 24 hours.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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