Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a highest temperature of 24°C (40.5% implied probability) for Buenos Aires on May 1, driven by the latest Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) forecast projecting a maximum of 24°C under partly cloudy skies with northerly winds advecting subtropical warmth into the region. This marks a 4-5°C anomaly above the early May climatological average of 19°C, amid a high-pressure ridge suppressing cooler southerly flows. Global models like GFS and ECMWF show ensemble means of 18-22°C with spread due to cloud cover uncertainty and diurnal timing, elevating nearby outcomes at 23°C (19.5%) and 25°C (21.5%). Final 12-hour model updates today and real-time observations from Ezeiza Airport will sharpen resolution before tomorrow's peak heating around 3 PM local time.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on May 1?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on May 1?
24°C 41%
25°C 21.5%
23°C 18%
26°C or higher 8.1%
NUEVO
$53,848 Vol.
NUEVO
$53,848 Vol.
1 may 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
7%
23°C
18%
24°C
41%
25°C
22%
26°C or higher
8%
24°C 41%
25°C 21.5%
23°C 18%
26°C or higher 8.1%
NUEVO
$53,848 Vol.
NUEVO
$53,848 Vol.
1 may 2026
16°C or below
$3,271 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$7,390 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$11,209 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$7,149 Vol.
1%
20°C
$8,184 Vol.
1%
21°C
$3,688 Vol.
2%
22°C
$3,168 Vol.
7%
23°C
$1,273 Vol.
18%
24°C
$2,712 Vol.
41%
25°C
$2,073 Vol.
22%
26°C or higher
$3,739 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a highest temperature of 24°C (40.5% implied probability) for Buenos Aires on May 1, driven by the latest Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) forecast projecting a maximum of 24°C under partly cloudy skies with northerly winds advecting subtropical warmth into the region. This marks a 4-5°C anomaly above the early May climatological average of 19°C, amid a high-pressure ridge suppressing cooler southerly flows. Global models like GFS and ECMWF show ensemble means of 18-22°C with spread due to cloud cover uncertainty and diurnal timing, elevating nearby outcomes at 23°C (19.5%) and 25°C (21.5%). Final 12-hour model updates today and real-time observations from Ezeiza Airport will sharpen resolution before tomorrow's peak heating around 3 PM local time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 29, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volumen
$53,848Fecha de finalización
1 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 29, 2026, 12:06 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a highest temperature of 24°C (40.5% implied probability) for Buenos Aires on May 1, driven by the latest Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) forecast projecting a maximum of 24°C under partly cloudy skies with northerly winds advecting subtropical warmth into the region. This marks a 4-5°C anomaly above the early May climatological average of 19°C, amid a high-pressure ridge suppressing cooler southerly flows. Global models like GFS and ECMWF show ensemble means of 18-22°C with spread due to cloud cover uncertainty and diurnal timing, elevating nearby outcomes at 23°C (19.5%) and 25°C (21.5%). Final 12-hour model updates today and real-time observations from Ezeiza Airport will sharpen resolution before tomorrow's peak heating around 3 PM local time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$53,848Fecha de finalización
1 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 29, 2026, 12:06 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a highest temperature of 24°C (40.5% implied probability) for Buenos Aires on May 1, driven by the latest Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) forecast projecting a maximum of 24°C under partly cloudy skies with northerly winds advecting subtropical warmth into the region. This marks a 4-5°C anomaly above the early May climatological average of 19°C, amid a high-pressure ridge suppressing cooler southerly flows. Global models like GFS and ECMWF show ensemble means of 18-22°C with spread due to cloud cover uncertainty and diurnal timing, elevating nearby outcomes at 23°C (19.5%) and 25°C (21.5%). Final 12-hour model updates today and real-time observations from Ezeiza Airport will sharpen resolution before tomorrow's peak heating around 3 PM local time.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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