Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight forecast clustering for Beijing's highest temperature on May 3, with models from the China Meteorological Administration and international sources like AccuWeather projecting daytime highs of 23-24°C under partly cloudy skies and light northeast breezes. This positioning stems from recent spring patterns, including variable cold air intrusions cooling early May averages from the monthly norm of 26-27°C, as seen in yesterday's overcast conditions limiting insolation. Differentiating factors include potential cloud cover variability—thicker overcast could cap peaks at 21-22°C, while clearer skies boost to 24°C—and urban heat island effects at the official Beijing Capital International Airport station. Updated model runs expected today may refine these market-implied odds amid inherent short-term forecast uncertainty.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Pekín el 3 de mayo?
¿La temperatura más alta en Pekín el 3 de mayo?
22°C 29%
23°C 23%
21°C 21%
24°C 14%
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 may 2026
17°C o menos
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
3%
20°C
13%
21°C
21%
22°C
29%
23°C
23%
24°C
14%
25°C
6%
26°C
2%
27°C o más
1%
22°C 29%
23°C 23%
21°C 21%
24°C 14%
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 may 2026
17°C o menos
$51 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$71 Vol.
1%
19°C
$26 Vol.
3%
20°C
$66 Vol.
13%
21°C
$90 Vol.
21%
22°C
$235 Vol.
29%
23°C
$131 Vol.
23%
24°C
$103 Vol.
14%
25°C
$126 Vol.
6%
26°C
$368 Vol.
2%
27°C o más
$447 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight forecast clustering for Beijing's highest temperature on May 3, with models from the China Meteorological Administration and international sources like AccuWeather projecting daytime highs of 23-24°C under partly cloudy skies and light northeast breezes. This positioning stems from recent spring patterns, including variable cold air intrusions cooling early May averages from the monthly norm of 26-27°C, as seen in yesterday's overcast conditions limiting insolation. Differentiating factors include potential cloud cover variability—thicker overcast could cap peaks at 21-22°C, while clearer skies boost to 24°C—and urban heat island effects at the official Beijing Capital International Airport station. Updated model runs expected today may refine these market-implied odds amid inherent short-term forecast uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 1, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Volumen
$1,705Fecha de finalización
3 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 1, 2026, 12:12 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight forecast clustering for Beijing's highest temperature on May 3, with models from the China Meteorological Administration and international sources like AccuWeather projecting daytime highs of 23-24°C under partly cloudy skies and light northeast breezes. This positioning stems from recent spring patterns, including variable cold air intrusions cooling early May averages from the monthly norm of 26-27°C, as seen in yesterday's overcast conditions limiting insolation. Differentiating factors include potential cloud cover variability—thicker overcast could cap peaks at 21-22°C, while clearer skies boost to 24°C—and urban heat island effects at the official Beijing Capital International Airport station. Updated model runs expected today may refine these market-implied odds amid inherent short-term forecast uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$1,705Fecha de finalización
3 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 1, 2026, 12:12 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight forecast clustering for Beijing's highest temperature on May 3, with models from the China Meteorological Administration and international sources like AccuWeather projecting daytime highs of 23-24°C under partly cloudy skies and light northeast breezes. This positioning stems from recent spring patterns, including variable cold air intrusions cooling early May averages from the monthly norm of 26-27°C, as seen in yesterday's overcast conditions limiting insolation. Differentiating factors include potential cloud cover variability—thicker overcast could cap peaks at 21-22°C, while clearer skies boost to 24°C—and urban heat island effects at the official Beijing Capital International Airport station. Updated model runs expected today may refine these market-implied odds amid inherent short-term forecast uncertainty.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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