France's status as 2022 runners-up and consistent top-ranked side underpins their 66.5% implied probability to top Group I, backed by depth across attack and defense plus favorable scheduling. Norway's 23.5% reflects strong recent qualifying momentum, including an unbeaten UEFA campaign and Haaland-led attack that delivered high goal tallies. Senegal sits at 10.5% due to solid CAF form and counterattacking threat, though they trail in overall squad quality. Iraq's 1.0% aligns with their status as the lowest-ranked side entering via intercontinental playoffs after a grueling qualification path. The group opens June 16 with France facing Senegal, followed by key Norway and Iraq fixtures through June 26.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedFrance 67%
Norway 24%
Senegal 11%
Iraq 1.0%
$238,163 Vol.
$238,163 Vol.
Jun 27, 2026
France
67%
Norway
24%
Senegal
11%
Iraq
1%
France 67%
Norway 24%
Senegal 11%
Iraq 1.0%
$238,163 Vol.
$238,163 Vol.
Jun 27, 2026
France
$110,447 Vol.
67%
Norway
$37,745 Vol.
24%
Senegal
$31,705 Vol.
11%
Iraq
$58,370 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.France's status as 2022 runners-up and consistent top-ranked side underpins their 66.5% implied probability to top Group I, backed by depth across attack and defense plus favorable scheduling. Norway's 23.5% reflects strong recent qualifying momentum, including an unbeaten UEFA campaign and Haaland-led attack that delivered high goal tallies. Senegal sits at 10.5% due to solid CAF form and counterattacking threat, though they trail in overall squad quality. Iraq's 1.0% aligns with their status as the lowest-ranked side entering via intercontinental playoffs after a grueling qualification path. The group opens June 16 with France facing Senegal, followed by key Norway and Iraq fixtures through June 26.
This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Dec 5, 2025, 7:01 PM ET
Volume
$238,163End Date
Jun 27, 2026Market Opened
Dec 5, 2025, 7:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.France's status as 2022 runners-up and consistent top-ranked side underpins their 66.5% implied probability to top Group I, backed by depth across attack and defense plus favorable scheduling. Norway's 23.5% reflects strong recent qualifying momentum, including an unbeaten UEFA campaign and Haaland-led attack that delivered high goal tallies. Senegal sits at 10.5% due to solid CAF form and counterattacking threat, though they trail in overall squad quality. Iraq's 1.0% aligns with their status as the lowest-ranked side entering via intercontinental playoffs after a grueling qualification path. The group opens June 16 with France facing Senegal, followed by key Norway and Iraq fixtures through June 26.
This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$238,163End Date
Jun 27, 2026Market Opened
Dec 5, 2025, 7:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...France's status as 2022 runners-up and consistent top-ranked side underpins their 66.5% implied probability to top Group I, backed by depth across attack and defense plus favorable scheduling. Norway's 23.5% reflects strong recent qualifying momentum, including an unbeaten UEFA campaign and Haaland-led attack that delivered high goal tallies. Senegal sits at 10.5% due to solid CAF form and counterattacking threat, though they trail in overall squad quality. Iraq's 1.0% aligns with their status as the lowest-ranked side entering via intercontinental playoffs after a grueling qualification path. The group opens June 16 with France facing Senegal, followed by key Norway and Iraq fixtures through June 26.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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