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Sports·FIFA World Cup

World Cup: Golden Boot Winner

icon for World Cup: Golden Boot Winner
Sports·FIFA World Cup

World Cup: Golden Boot Winner

Kylian Mbappe 16%

Harry Kane 13%

Mikel Oyarzabal 8%

Erling Haaland 6%

Polymarket

$2,120,632 Vol.

Kylian Mbappe 16%

Harry Kane 13%

Mikel Oyarzabal 8%

Erling Haaland 6%

Polymarket

$2,120,632 Vol.

Kylian Mbappe

$145,038 Vol.

16%

Harry Kane

$98,002 Vol.

13%

Mikel Oyarzabal

$42,042 Vol.

8%

Erling Haaland

$53,164 Vol.

6%

Cristiano Ronaldo

$63,761 Vol.

5%

Lionel Messi

$43,037 Vol.

5%

Lamine Yamal

$78,406 Vol.

4%

Raphinha

$32,523 Vol.

3%

Ousmane Dembele

$33,128 Vol.

3%

Julian Alvarez

$48,643 Vol.

3%

Ferran Torres

$99,846 Vol.

3%

Vinicius Junior

$30,412 Vol.

3%

Lautaro Martinez

$64,204 Vol.

2%

Cody Gakpo

$6,487 Vol.

2%

Luis Diaz

$15,813 Vol.

2%

Deniz Undav

$70,344 Vol.

2%

Igor Thiago

$18,400 Vol.

2%

Michael Olise

$67,743 Vol.

2%

Federico Valverde

$58,612 Vol.

1%

Luis Javier Suárez

$32,535 Vol.

1%

Viktor Gyökeres

$29,209 Vol.

1%

Jude Bellingham

$47,516 Vol.

1%

Depay Memphis

$7,357 Vol.

1%

Desire Doue

$40,631 Vol.

1%

Bukayo Saka

$45,042 Vol.

1%

Bruno Fernandes

$22,438 Vol.

1%

Heung-Min Son

$8,056 Vol.

1%

Edin Džeko

$60,687 Vol.

1%

Marcus Thuram

$56,932 Vol.

1%

Sadio Mane

$26,846 Vol.

1%

Scott McTominay

$57,981 Vol.

<1%

Mohamed Salah

$43,651 Vol.

<1%

Dani Olmo

$45,641 Vol.

<1%

Rafael Leao

$39,091 Vol.

<1%

Antoine Semenyo

$57,011 Vol.

<1%

Bradley Barcola

$22,372 Vol.

<1%

Pedri

$48,521 Vol.

<1%

Ivan Perišić

$44,304 Vol.

<1%

Amad Diallo

$74,458 Vol.

<1%

Noah Okafor

$40,660 Vol.

<1%

Rodrygo

$86,764 Vol.

<1%

Andrej Kramarić

$34,140 Vol.

<1%

Serge Gnabry

$67,852 Vol.

<1%

Dion Beljo

$11,459 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the player who scores the most goals through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player who scored fewer goals from penalty kicks. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no leader declared within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kylian Mbappé holds the highest implied probability in the Golden Boot market due to his 2022 tournament record of eight goals and France’s projected depth in the expanded 48-team field, while Harry Kane sits close behind on the strength of his 54 club goals this season and England’s consistent knockout-stage pedigree. Spain’s Mikel Oyarzabal and other attackers benefit from strong recent form and favorable group paths, but the top probabilities remain tightly bunched because no single player dominates qualifying scoring, team advancement is uncertain beyond the group stage, and historical data shows Golden Boot winners typically emerge from late-round runs rather than early dominance. Multiple contenders from high-scoring nations retain realistic chances to surpass the leaders if their squads reach the quarterfinals or beyond.

This market will resolve to the player who scores the most goals through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player who scored fewer goals from penalty kicks. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no leader declared within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$2,120,632
End Date
Jul 20, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 24, 2026, 1:07 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the player who scores the most goals through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player who scored fewer goals from penalty kicks. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no leader declared within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the player who scores the most goals through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player who scored fewer goals from penalty kicks. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no leader declared within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kylian Mbappé holds the highest implied probability in the Golden Boot market due to his 2022 tournament record of eight goals and France’s projected depth in the expanded 48-team field, while Harry Kane sits close behind on the strength of his 54 club goals this season and England’s consistent knockout-stage pedigree. Spain’s Mikel Oyarzabal and other attackers benefit from strong recent form and favorable group paths, but the top probabilities remain tightly bunched because no single player dominates qualifying scoring, team advancement is uncertain beyond the group stage, and historical data shows Golden Boot winners typically emerge from late-round runs rather than early dominance. Multiple contenders from high-scoring nations retain realistic chances to surpass the leaders if their squads reach the quarterfinals or beyond.

This market will resolve to the player who scores the most goals through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player who scored fewer goals from penalty kicks. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no leader declared within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$2,120,632
End Date
Jul 20, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 24, 2026, 1:07 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the player who scores the most goals through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player who scored fewer goals from penalty kicks. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no leader declared within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Related

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icon for Will Spain score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Will Spain score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

20%
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Frequently Asked Questions

"World Cup: Golden Boot Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 44+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Kylian Mbappe" at 16%, followed by "Harry Kane" at 13%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 16¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 16% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "World Cup: Golden Boot Winner" has generated $2.1 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 24, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "World Cup: Golden Boot Winner," browse the 44+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "World Cup: Golden Boot Winner" is "Kylian Mbappe" at 16%, meaning the market assigns a 16% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Harry Kane" at 13%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "World Cup: Golden Boot Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.